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Two four-point probability measures agree on a generating family that is not a pi-system
Statement refuted
Agreement on a family that merely generates the sigma-algebra does not determine a measure. Intersection closure in the pi-system uniqueness theorem is essential.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The four-point set and the family consisting of , the north and south rows, and the west and east columns.
A probability measure is a measure with total mass (Probability measures and probability spaces).
The generated sigma-algebra is the smallest sigma-algebra containing the generating family (The sigma-algebra generated by a family of sets).
A pi-system is closed under intersections (Pi-systems), and the uniqueness theorem requires agreement on a generating pi-system with a finite-measure exhaustion (Measures agreeing on a generating pi-system are equal under an increasing finite-measure exhaustion from that pi-system).
Counterexample
Give masses at and give masses . Finite summation over subsets defines probability measures on .
Intersecting rows with columns produces every singleton, so ; a singleton intersection is absent from , so is not a pi-system. The constant sequence is an increasing finite-measure exhaustion lying in .
Every row and column contains exactly one -atom and one -atom of mass , and both measures give mass , so the measures agree on .
The measures are unequal because and , despite steps 2.1 and 1.2. The family satisfies the generating and finite-measure exhaustion hypotheses and violates the pi-system hypothesis of [L3].
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Sources
- D. Pollard, A User's Guide to Measure Theoretic Probability, §10, Example 42 (standard reference, not scraped)