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CounterexampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-generatedPipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
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A pair-count lattice sample covariance need not be positive definite

Statement refuted

For every finite scalar lattice sample, whenever the pair-count estimator from Lagged lattice covariance and variogram estimators is defined at all pairwise lags in a finite set of sites, the matrix of estimated lagged covariances on those sites is positive semidefinite.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite scalar data vector on V={0,1,2}⊂Z and the estimator from Lagged lattice covariance and variogram estimators.

[F1]

Lagged lattice covariance and variogram estimators: for available lag h, C^(h) is the pair-count average of YjYj+h minus the squared global sample mean.

[F2]

Positive definite functions on an abelian group: every finite quadratic form of a positive-definite covariance function must be nonnegative.

Counterexample

1.1F1givenalgebra

Take the data (y0,y1,y2)=(1,2,3) on V={0,1,2}. Its mean is yˉ=2. By [F1], the lag-zero estimator is C^(0)=12+22+323−22=23, and the lag-two estimate, based on the single pair (0,2), is C^(2)=1⋅3−22=−1. The negative-lag estimate equals C^(−2)=C^(2) because the reverse pair has the same product.

2.1F1F2step 1.1algebra∎

At the two sites 0 and 2, all pairwise lag estimates are defined and the estimated covariance matrix is (2/3−1−12/3). Its quadratic form at v=(1,1)T equals vT(2/3−1−12/3)v=−2/3<0. This contradicts the necessary nonnegative quadratic-form condition [F2], so the stated universal claim is false.

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