How statement and proof provenance work
The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.
- Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
- AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
- AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.
These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.
Optional stopping fails for an unbounded simple-random-walk hitting time
Statement
Assume AC. For simple symmetric random walk and , define on . Then is almost surely finite, but almost surely and
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses, objects, and conventions in the Statement.
Gambler's ruin hitting probability from optional stopping computes finite-interval hitting probabilities.
Optional stopping requires a passage-to-the-limit hypothesis identifies the invalid limit passage.
The Axiom of Choice is inherited from F1 and the martingale interface.
Counterexample
For , let be the event that the walk hits before . Translating the symmetric ruin interval to with starting point , F1 gives The increase, and their union is : a path that reaches has a finite minimum before that time and therefore belongs to some . Continuity from below gives .
By definition, on this probability-one event, whereas . Thus their expectations differ. This explicitly shows that almost-sure finiteness alone cannot justify passing from to in bounded optional sampling, as F2 warns. AC has exactly the inherited role in F3.
Depends on
Used by
Dependency tree · two levels
9 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- van der Vaart, Martingales, Diffusions and Financial Mathematics, warning after Theorem 2.42, p. 22 (standard reference, not scraped)