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A one-point logistic GP regression satisfies the L² link branch

Statement

Let the covariate space contain one point x0, let G=δx0, and take W(x0)=Z∼N(0,1). With the logistic link Ψ(u)=(1+e−u)−1 and truth w0(x0)=0, the hypotheses of the binary-regression branch hold at ϵn=log⁡n/n for all sufficiently large n.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The one-point covariate law, logistic link, constant Gaussian prior and true response probability f0(x0)=1/2.

[F1]

Standard normal and normal laws: Z has density φ(z)=e−z2/2/2π and positive mass on every interval around zero.

[F2]

Gaussian-process posterior contraction in density and regression models: under its binary-regression hypotheses, expected posterior mass outside a sufficiently large L2(G) ball tends to zero.

Verification

1.1givenalgebra

Differentiation gives Ψ′(u)=Ψ(u)(1−Ψ(u)), so ∣Ψ′(u)∣≤1/4 and ∣Ψ′(u)/[Ψ(u)(1−Ψ(u))]∣=1. The true response probability is Ψ(0)=1/2∈(0,1), and w0=0 is in the support of the scalar standard-normal prior.

1.2F1givenalgebra

Here L2(G) is isometric to R and ∥W∥L2(G)=∣Z∣. The RKHS approximation cost at zero is zero. By [F1], for 0<ϵ≤1, Pr⁡(∣Z∣<ϵ)≥2φ(1)ϵ, so ϕ0(ϵn)≤−log⁡(2φ(1)ϵn). With ϵn=log⁡n/n, this is at most nϵn2=log⁡n for all sufficiently large n.

2.1F2step 1.1step 1.2∎

The joint Bernoulli density relative to G⊗# is bounded by one, and the constant-process evaluation is jointly measurable. Steps 1.1–1.2 verify the remaining link, truth-support and concentration conditions; applying the binary-regression branch of [F2] yields expected posterior contraction in L2(G).

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