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A fixed-design slope contrast and nested-model F statistic

Example

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Use the fixed design with rows (1,−1),(1,−1),(1,1),(1,1) and observations y=(1,2,4,5)T. The full model has intercept and slope; the reduced model has only an intercept, so the rank difference is q=1. The least-squares estimates are (β^0,β^1)=(3,3/2), the full residual sum is RSSU=1, and the reduced residual sum is RSSR=10. Thus the observed slope t statistic under H0:β1=0 is 32, and the nested-model F statistic is

F=(10−1)/11/(4−2)=18.

Under fixed-design normal errors with the null true, the theorem gives exact laws t2 for the contrast and F1,2 for the nested-model statistic.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The displayed deterministic design, response vector, and the fixed-design normal error model under the null.

[F1]

For a fixed full-rank Gaussian design, every nonzero coefficient contrast has an exact t pivot and a nested reduced/full model has the stated exact F pivot. QR decomposition gives exact t and F pivots in the fixed Gaussian linear model

Verification

technique · direct
1.1givenalgebra

The two design columns are orthogonal: their inner product is 1(−1)+1(−1)+1(1)+1(1)=0, and each has squared norm 4. Hence XTX=4I2. The displayed least-squares coefficients are β^0=(1+2+4+5)/4=3 and β^1=(−1−2+4+5)/4=3/2. The full fitted values are (3/2,3/2,9/2,9/2), so the residuals are (−1/2,1/2,−1/2,1/2) and RSSU=1.

2.1givenstep 1.1algebra

The reduced fit is the sample mean 3, with residuals (−2,−1,1,2) and RSSR=10. For c=(0,1)T, cT(XTX)−1c=1/4 and S2=RSSU/(4−2)=1/2, so the observed null t statistic is (3/2)/(1/2)(1/4)=32.

3.1F1step 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

The rank difference is one and the denominator degrees of freedom are 4−2=2. Therefore F=((RSSR−RSSU)/1)/(RSSU/2)=18. Under the normal model and the null β1=0, [F1] gives the exact F1,2 law; the t contrast has the exact t2 law and its square agrees with F here.

Depends on

Used by

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