Alphabeta Math
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Uniform maximum pivot interval

Example

Let n≥1, θ>0, and take the experiment with sample space X=Rn and its Borel sigma-algebra, where under each θ the coordinate random variables X1,…,Xn are independent, each with Pθ(Xi≤t)=0 for t<0, Pθ(Xi≤t)=t/θ for 0≤t≤θ, and Pθ(Xi≤t)=1 for t>θ. Write M=max⁡iXi and let 0<α<1. The pivot M/θ has distribution function un on [0,1]. Setting v=α1/n gives the exact confidence set C(X)=[M,M/v]∩(0,∞) with coverage 1−α.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The Rn experiment specified in the Example, n≥1, and 0<α<1.

[F1]

Independent random elements: independence means independence of the sigma-algebras generated by the coordinate random elements.

[F2]

Independent random elements have product joint law: the joint law of finitely many independent random elements is the product of their marginal laws.

[F3]

Pivotal quantities: a pivot has parameter-free pushforward law.

[F4]

Confidence sets and coverage: coverage is the probability that the true parameter is in the set.

[F5]

Coverage from pivot inversion and exact calibration: pivot inversion of a measurable acceptance set with mass 1−α has exact coverage 1−α.

[F6]

Statistical experiments: an experiment assigns a probability law to each parameter on one measurable observation space.

[F7]

The Borel sigma-algebra of a topological space: the Borel sigma-algebra is generated by the open sets of the underlying topological space.

Verification

1.1givenF1F2F6F7algebra

The sample sigma-algebra is the Borel sigma-algebra of Rn by [F7]. The maximum map m(x)=max⁡ixi satisfies ∣m(x)−m(y)∣≤max⁡i∣xi−yi∣, so it is continuous. The preimages of open sets are therefore open; since the Borel sigma-algebra is generated by open sets, preimages of every Borel set are Borel and M=m(X) is measurable. Also m/θ is continuous because θ>0. The coordinate variables are independent by [F1], and [F2] gives their product joint law.

1.2givenF2F3algebra

If 0≤u≤1, then Pθ(M/θ≤u)=Pθ(X1≤uθ,…,Xn≤uθ)=∏i=1nu=un. For u<0 the probability is 0, and for u≥1 it is 1. This law does not depend on θ, so M/θ is a pivot by [F3].

2.1givenF3F5step 1.2algebra

The distribution function un established in step 1.2 is continuous. Therefore Pθ(α1/n≤M/θ≤1)=1−(α1/n)n=1−α. By [F5], pivot inversion gives exact coverage.

3.1givenF4step 2.1algebra∎

Since θ>0, the inequality α1/n≤M/θ≤1 is equivalent to M≤θ≤M/α1/n. Thus the inverted set is [M,M/α1/n]∩(0,∞), and [F4] identifies its coverage with the probability computed in step 2.1.

Depends on

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