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A finite-normalizer loss update is a probability measure
Statement
Let be the update of Generalized Bayes loss update and temperature, with prior probability and normalizer . Then is a probability measure on .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A prior probability , a fixed observation , a temperature , and .
Generalized Bayes loss update and temperature: for each measurable ,
The measure with density relative to : if is measurable, then is a measure.
Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures: a nonnegative scalar multiple of a measure is a measure.
Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product: for measurable,
Probability measures and probability spaces: a probability measure is a measure whose total mass is one.
Proof
Put and . By [F1]–[F2], is the measure with density relative to .
Since , [F1] gives , which is a measure by [F3]. Also [F4] gives so .
By [F5], the measure in step 2.1 with total mass one is a probability measure.
Depends on
Used by
- A generalized Bayes credible set can have zero coverage Counterexample
- Rescaling loss changes the effective temperature Example
- The unit-temperature likelihood update is ordinary Bayes in a finite model Example
- Fixed-temperature generalized Bayes updates are sequentially coherent Theorem
- The generalized Bayes loss update uniquely minimizes loss plus KL Theorem
Dependency tree · two levels
19 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- P. G. Bissiri, C. C. Holmes, and S. G. Walker, A general framework for updating belief distributions, JRSS B 78(5), 2016 (standard reference, not scraped)
- J. Knoblauch, J. Jewson, and T. Damoulas, An Optimization-centric View on Bayes’ Rule: Reviewing and Generalizing Variational Inference, JMLR 23(132), 2022 (standard reference, not scraped)