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Recursive Bad-Rectangle Probability

Statement

Let a≥2 and 1≤q<a be integers and let η∈[0,1]. For each integer r≥0, suppose every level-(r+1) rectangle has at most a level-r children, the family has full depth r+1 (every root-to-leaf path has exactly r+1 child edges), the leaves are single elementary locations, and sibling elementary-location sets are pairwise disjoint. A level-zero rectangle is bad exactly when its location faults, and a parent is bad only if at least q+1 children are bad. Put A=(aq+1), the number of (q+1)-subsets of an a-element set, and define p0=η and pr+1=min⁡{1,Aprq+1}. Under independent local faults of rate η, pr is a uniform upper bound for the probability that a level-r rectangle is bad. Moreover, pr+1≤Aprq+1 and pr≤A−1/q(A1/qη)(q+1)r. If Aηq<1, then pr→0 super-exponentially in r. No independence of child badness is inferred without the disjoint-location hypothesis.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite independent local fault model, a full-depth rooted hierarchy with one elementary location per leaf and pairwise disjoint sibling location sets, and a parent bad only when at least q+1 of at most a children are bad. Prove the recurrence and closed form.

[F1]

Independent Local Quantum Fault Model: Elementary fault indicators are mutually independent and each has probability η.

[F2]

Good and Bad Concatenated Rectangles: A parent has at most a disjoint child rectangles and is bad only if at least q+1 children are bad.

[F3]

Disjoint Fault-Location Events Are Independent: Events determined by disjoint child location sets are independent.

Proof

1.1givenF1F2constructinduction

Define a dominating event Bv for each rectangle v: at a leaf it is the event that its location faults, and at a parent it is the event that at least q+1 children satisfy their events B. By finite induction, actual badness implies Bv, using the stated one-sided badness rule. Each Bv depends only on the fault indicators in v. At level zero its probability is η=p0 by [F1]. For a level-(r+1) parent, Bv is the union over the at most A=(aq+1) child subsets J of the events that all their Bj occur.

2.1givenF1F2F3step 1.1inductionalgebra

Suppose every level-r event Bj has probability at most pr. For each fixed J, these events depend on pairwise disjoint location sets, so they are independent by [F3], and their intersection has probability at most prq+1. The indicator of a finite union is at most the sum of its event indicators. Summing probabilities over the at most A choices of J, and also using that a probability is at most one, gives P(Bv)≤min⁡{1,Aprq+1}=pr+1. Induction from step 1.1 proves that pr bounds every Bv and hence every actual bad probability at its level. Its defining recursion also gives pr+1≤Aprq+1.

3.1step 2.1algebra

Set θ=A1/qη. The asserted closed form holds at r=0, since A−1/qθ=η. If it holds at r, then pr+1≤A(A−1/qθ(q+1)r)q+1=A−1/qθ(q+1)r+1, because 1−(q+1)/q=−1/q. Induction proves the formula for every r.

4.1givenstep 3.1algebra∎

The condition Aηq<1 is equivalent to 0≤θ<1. For A≥1 and q+1>1, the exponent (q+1)r tends to infinity, so the closed-form upper bound tends to zero.

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