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Conditional bootstrap delta method for Hadamard differentiable maps

Statement

Let E,F be separable Banach spaces, E0⊆E a closed linear subspace, θ∈E, and D⊆E a neighbourhood of θ. Let tn>0 decrease to zero, let Zn∈E0 be data-measurable and tight, and let Zn∗∈E0 be bootstrap random elements such that θ+tnZn and θ+tn(Zn+Zn∗) lie in D with probability tending to one. Supply weak-convergence metrics on probability laws on E0 and F as in Conditional weak convergence in probability, with measurable distances for the conditional laws below. Assume:

  1. L∗(Zn∗) converges conditionally weakly in probability to the fixed law of G∈E0, as in Conditional weak convergence in probability;
  2. Zn∗ is conditionally tight in probability: for each ϵ,η>0, there is a deterministic compact K⊂E0 such that lim sup⁡nPr⁡{Pr⁡∗(Zn∗∉K)>ϵ}<η;
  3. D is Borel and Ψ:D→F is Borel measurable and Hadamard differentiable at θ, tangentially to E0, with continuous linear derivative Ψθ′ as in Hadamard differentiability tangentially to a subspace.

Then

L∗ ⁣(tn−1{Ψ(θ+tn(Zn+Zn∗))−Ψ(θ+tnZn)})

converges conditionally weakly in probability to the law of Ψθ′(G). Define the displayed bootstrap difference to be 0∈F whenever either argument lies outside D; the assumed vanishing probability of this event makes this convention asymptotically immaterial.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The spaces, sequences, conditional convergence, conditional tightness, domain and differentiability assumptions in the Statement.

[F1]

Hadamard differentiability tangentially to a subspace: Along every tm→0 and hm→h∈E0, the difference quotient {Ψ(θ+tmhm)−Ψ(θ)}/tm converges to Ψθ′(h), where Ψθ′ is continuous and linear.

[F2]

Conditional weak convergence in probability: Conditional weak convergence means that a metric generating weak convergence between the conditional bootstrap law and the fixed limiting law tends to zero in probability.

[F3]

Portmanteau theorem: Weak convergence of Borel probabilities is equivalent to the closed-set upper bound lim sup⁡nμn(C)≤μ(C) for every closed set C.

[F4]

Continuous mapping theorem: If μn⇒μ and a measurable map g is continuous μ-almost everywhere, then the image laws satisfy g∗μn⇒g∗μ.

[F5]

Subsequence characterization of convergence in probability: A scalar sequence tends to zero in probability exactly when every subsequence has a further subsequence tending to zero almost surely.

Proof

Given: The hypotheses and facts in the Statement and Facts & Assumptions.

1.1F1givenchoose

For every compact K⊂E0, sup⁡h∈K∥tn−1{Ψ(θ+tnh)−Ψ(θ)}−Ψθ′(h)∥F⟶0. If this failed, some subsequence would have hn∈K with the displayed norm bounded below by a positive constant. Compactness gives a further subsequence hn→h∈K; [F1] applied to that subsequence makes the norm tend to zero, a contradiction.

2.1F1givenstep 1.1algebra

Write Tn∗ for the bootstrap difference with the stated convention, and Rn∗=Tn∗−Ψθ′(Zn∗). Fix δ,ρ,η>0. Tightness gives a compact K0 with lim sup⁡nPr⁡(Zn∉K0)<η; conditional tightness gives compact K1 with lim sup⁡nPr⁡{Pr⁡∗(Zn∗∉K1)>ρ/2}<η. Because D is a neighbourhood of θ, the arguments associated to the bounded compact sets K0 and K0+K1 lie in D for all sufficiently large n. Step 1.1 on these two compact sets and linearity show uniformly there that ∥Rn∗∥<δ. Since Zn is fixed under conditioning, Pr⁡∗(∥Rn∗∥>δ)≤1{Zn∉K0}+Pr⁡∗(Zn∗∉K1) eventually. Thus the limit superior of Pr⁡{Pr⁡∗(∥Rn∗∥>δ)>ρ} is at most 2η. Letting η↓0 proves Pr⁡∗(∥Rn∗∥>δ)→0 in probability for every δ>0.

3.1F2F3F4F5step 2.1∎

Start with any subsequence. The nonnegative scalar min⁡(1,dw(L∗(Zn∗),L(G)))+∑j≥12−jPr⁡∗(∥Rn∗∥>1/j) tends to zero in probability: truncate the sum, use step 2.1 for its finitely many terms, and bound the tail by its geometric sum. By [F5], extract a further subsequence along which this scalar tends to zero almost surely, so the input metric distance and every remainder probability do also. Fix an outcome in their common probability-one event. The continuous mapping theorem [F4] gives weak convergence of the conditional laws of Ψθ′(Zn∗). For every closed C⊂F and δ>0, Pr⁡∗(Tn∗∈C)≤Pr⁡∗(∥Rn∗∥>δ)+Pr⁡∗(Ψθ′(Zn∗)∈Cδ), where Cδ={y:d(y,C)≤δ} is closed. Apply [F3] and let δ↓0; continuity from above of the fixed limiting probability gives the closed-set bound for Tn∗. Thus [F3] gives weak convergence on this outcome, hence convergence to zero of the supplied output weak-metric distance. A final application of [F5] proves convergence of that distance in probability along the full sequence.

Remarks

This theorem is conditional on the bootstrap limit and tightness hypotheses. It does not prove those hypotheses for a particular resampling algorithm.

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