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Finite-chain reverse-kernel error telescope

Statement

Let S be a finite nonempty state space and let N≥1. For each j=1,…,N, let Qj and Pj be probability kernels on S, used in reverse order from level j to level j−1. Starting from probability vectors μN,νN, define μj−1=μjQj and νj−1=νjPj. If TV⁡(μN,νN)≤εinit and sup⁡z∈STV⁡(Qj(z,⋅),Pj(z,⋅))≤εj(1≤j≤N), where εinit,ε1,…,εN∈[0,1], then TV⁡(μ0,ν0)≤min⁡{1,εinit+∑j=1Nεj}. Here TV⁡(u,v)=sup⁡A⊆S∣u(A)−v(A)∣.

Statement references

Total variation distance for probability laws: for probability laws, total variation is the supremum of absolute event-probability differences.

Measure kernel and probability kernel: a probability kernel has probability-law rows; on S its action is matrix multiplication.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite state space, the N pairs of probability kernels, the initial probability vectors, and all stated total-variation bounds. Prove the endpoint bound.

[F1]

Total variation distance for probability laws: TV⁡(u,v)=sup⁡A⊆S∣u(A)−v(A)∣ and lies in [0,1] for probability laws.

[F2]

Total variation duality, kernel contraction, and coupling bound: applying the same probability kernel to two input laws cannot increase their total-variation distance.

[F3]

Uniform row error bounds mixture-kernel error: a uniform row-wise total-variation error εj gives TV⁡(ρQj,ρPj)≤εj for every input law ρ.

[F4]

Measure kernel and probability kernel: each Qj and Pj row is a probability law.

Proof

1.1givenF1F2F3F4algebra

Fix j and A⊆S. Insert the intermediate measure νjQj and use the ordinary triangle inequality for real numbers on the two event differences. The first difference is at most TV⁡(μj,νj) by [F2], and the second is at most εj by [F3]. Taking the supremum over A by [F1] gives TV⁡(μj−1,νj−1)≤TV⁡(μj,νj)+εj.

2.1givenstep 1.1algebra

Apply step 1.1 successively for j=N,N−1,…,1. The intermediate distances telescope, so TV⁡(μ0,ν0)≤TV⁡(μN,νN)+∑j=1Nεj≤εinit+∑j=1Nεj.

3.1F1step 2.1algebra∎

Since both endpoint vectors are probability laws, [F1] gives TV⁡(μ0,ν0)≤1. Combining this with step 2.1 yields the stated minimum, including the cases N=1, zero kernel errors, and a sum at least one.

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Sources