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Independent generation success and verifier false-acceptance bounds

Statement

Fix a prompt q, a budget N≥1, and the finite response law, correctness predicate, and verifier from the generation protocol. In part 1, Y1,…,YN are independent draws from that law and p:=Pr⁡(Cq(Y1)=1) is their common one-draw correctness probability. Parts 2 and 3 state their own sampling hypotheses.

  1. If Aq=Cq, rejection search returns an accepted response with probability 1−(1−p)N.

  2. For any rule that selects one of these N candidates and reports it as accepted only when its verifier value is 1, if each draw satisfies Pr⁡(Aq(Yi)=1, Cq(Yi)=0)≤ϵ, then the probability of outputting an accepted but incorrect response is at most Nϵ. This bound does not require independent draws.

  3. For an adaptive sampler, let p∈[0,1]. Suppose that for every i≤N and every positive-probability history h=(Y1,…,Yi−1) with no earlier correct response, the conditional probability of correctness at draw i is at least p. Then the probability of no correct response in the first N draws is at most (1−p)N.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite response law, correctness predicate Cq, verifier Aq, and budget N. Part 1 assumes independent policy draws; part 2 assumes only the stated per-draw false-acceptance bounds; part 3 assumes the stated adaptive conditional-success bounds.

[F1]

Finite truncated response spaces, correctness predicates, and verifiers: at fixed q, the response set is finite, its mass function is normalized, and Cq,Aq take values in {0,1}.

[F2]

Budgeted verifier-guided generation and best-of-N sampling Budgeted verifier generation terminates with bounded response and selection calls: rejection search returns the first sample with Aq=1 or fails after at most N draws.

[F3]

Probability measures and probability spaces and Measures on sigma-algebras: probabilities are countably additive measures of total mass one. Finite additivity follows by padding a finite disjoint family with empty sets; finite subadditivity follows by disjointifying a finite union.

[F4]

Independent random elements and Independent sigma-algebras and independent events: independent draws generate independent sigma-algebras; for events Ei determined by distinct draws, Pr⁡(⋂iEi)=∏iPr⁡(Ei).

[F5]

Finite sums and finite products, by recursion: finite sums recurse from 0 by adding one term. Ordered field: its positive cone is closed under addition and multiplication; induction on a finite list therefore preserves a termwise inequality after multiplying by nonnegative weights and summing.

[A1]

In part 3, p∈[0,1] and for each positive-probability no-success history h at draw i, Pr⁡(Cq(Yi)=1∣h)≥p. For finite histories, this conditional probability is Pr⁡(Cq(Yi)=1, h)/Pr⁡(h).

Proof

Given: The Statement hypotheses, including the finite sample space of at most N responses.

1.1givenF1F2F3F4algebra

Under Aq=Cq, rejection search succeeds exactly on the event ⋃i=1N{Cq(Yi)=1}. Its complement is the intersection of the N failure events. By independence [F4], that complement has probability (1−p)N, so the success probability is 1−(1−p)N.

1.2givenA1F1F3F5algebrainduction

Let Fi be the event that the first i adaptive responses are all incorrect, with F0 the whole sample space. Enumerate the finite response histories lexicographically using the fixed response list in [F1], and partition Fi−1 into its positive-probability histories h. By [A1], Pr⁡(Cq(Yi)=0∣h)≤1−p for each such history. Multiplying by the nonnegative Pr⁡(h) and summing over this finite partition preserves the inequality by [F5]; finite additivity gives Pr⁡(Fi)≤(1−p)∑hPr⁡(h)=(1−p)Pr⁡(Fi−1). Induction from Pr⁡(F0)=1 yields Pr⁡(FN)≤(1−p)N.

2.1givenF1F3F5algebra∎

For each draw let Bi={Aq(Yi)=1, Cq(Yi)=0}. Any accepted incorrect output selected from the N candidates lies in ⋃i=1NBi. For every outcome, 1∪iBi≤∑i=1N1Bi; summing this pointwise inequality against the nonnegative finite outcome masses gives Pr⁡(⋃iBi)≤∑i=1NPr⁡(Bi)≤Nϵ. Thus the false-acceptance probability is at most Nϵ. No factorization or independence is used in this step.

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