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A factorized reverse kernel fails for correlated tokens

Statement refuted

For every finite clean-sequence law and every finite absorbing-mask schedule with independent forward masking conditional on the clean sequence, the exact reverse conditional law of the earlier sequence given a later masked state factorizes over positions.

Statement references

Posterior of a finite masking chain: its product posterior is conditional on the clean sequence; marginalizing a dependent clean-sequence law need not preserve the product form.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: V={0,1}, L=2, N=1, α0=1, α1=0, and Pr⁡(X=(0,0))=Pr⁡(X=(1,1))=1/2. The forward corruption is the finite absorbing-mask chain, and the proposed learned reverse sampler uses independent position draws with h1,1(m2)=h2,1(m2)=(1/2,1/2).

[F1]

Finite masking diffusion chain: at terminal survival α1=0, every clean token is masked, while the clean sequence itself retains its original law.

[F2]

Posterior of a finite masking chain: for the endpoint pair s=0,t=1, the true reverse conditional given X and the all-mask state returns the clean string with probability one.

[F3]

Finite-grid masked reverse sampler: at c1=1, the learned sampler draws each masked coordinate independently from its position predictor.

Counterexample

Given: The finite model and probability law in the Statement.

1.1givenF1F2algebra

Since α1=0, [F1] gives Z1=(m,m) with probability one, independent of X. By [F2], conditioning on this state and reversing to s=0 returns X exactly. Hence the true reverse law puts mass 1/2 on (0,0) and 1/2 on (1,1), and zero on the two unequal strings.

2.1givenstep 1.1algebra

Each marginal coordinate of that true law is uniform on {0,1}, but its joint law is not their product: the product would assign mass 1/4 to (0,1), while the true law assigns zero. Therefore the exact reverse conditional is not independent across positions.

3.1F3step 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

The learned sampler has c1=1 and draws the two coordinates independently from their uniform predictors by [F3]. Its output assigns probability 1/4 to each of the four strings, so it cannot equal the true reverse law in step 1.1. This refutes the universal factorization statement while leaving the forward conditional independence assumption intact.

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