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An L1-bounded martingale need not converge in L1
Statement
Assume AC. On put for , let and , and define and for . Then is a nonnegative martingale with for every , hence , but almost surely and not in .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses, objects, and conventions in the Statement.
Martingale submartingale and supermartingale defines a martingale through conditional expectations.
Conditional expectation given a sigma algebra supplies the event-integral characterization of conditional expectation.
Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable evaluates the displayed simple variables.
The Axiom of Choice is assumed because the conditional-expectation and martingale interfaces used here require it.
Counterexample
The displayed process is nonnegative and for , while .
For , the atoms of are , the shells for , and the outside atom . The singleton is not a separate atom of this sigma-algebra. On , occupies half the measure and on every shell and on , both and vanish. For the same calculation uses total mean one. Thus the event-integral characterization in F2 and the definition in F1 give .
The sets decrease to the empty set, so is eventually zero for every and pointwise. But for every . Hence the martingale is -bounded without convergence. AC is used only as recorded in F4.
Depends on
Used by
Dependency tree · two levels
11 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- van der Vaart, Martingales, Diffusions and Financial Mathematics, martingale-convergence warnings in §§2.5 and 2.8 (standard reference, not scraped)