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Zero average effect need not be a Fisher sharp null
Statement refuted
In a binary no-interference treatment model, a zero finite-population average treatment effect implies the Fisher sharp null.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: Two units with binary treatment vector in , assignment probability at each vector, and fixed responses and .
Finite randomized treatment-assignment models: is the fixed response of unit under assignment ; assignment probability is separate from this schedule.
Finite-population average treatment effect and weak null: the weak null is zero average of the unit-level effects in the no-interference binary-treatment submodel.
Fisher sharp null and predeclared test orderings: the Fisher sharp null requires each unit's response to be invariant over every allowed assignment.
Counterexample
Under the stated no-interference schedule, unit 1's treatment effect is , while unit 2's is . Their finite-population average from [F2] is . The four assignment weights are nonnegative and sum to one, so they define a valid finite assignment law.
But and . Thus both units' responses vary across allowed assignments, contrary to [F3]. The average-effect null [F2] does not imply the Fisher sharp null.
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