How statement and proof provenance work
The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.
- Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
- AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
- AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.
These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.
Confidence sequences
Definition
Let be a parameter set and a family of probability laws on a common discrete filtered measurable space Filtration and filtered probability space. For , a confidence sequence is a sequence of set-valued rules such that, for each fixed , the membership event belongs to for every and
The coverage is simultaneous over all discrete times. The definition makes no claim of conditional-on-covariates coverage or validity under a changed sampling law.
Depends on
Used by
Dependency tree · two levels
3 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.
Sources
- Steven R. Howard, Aaditya Ramdas, Jon McAuliffe and Jasjeet Sekhon, Time-Uniform, Nonparametric, Nonasymptotic Confidence Sequences, Introduction (standard reference, not scraped)
- Aaditya Ramdas, Peter Grunwald, Vladimir Vovk and Glenn Shafer, Game-Theoretic Statistics and Safe Anytime-Valid Inference, §2.8 (standard reference, not scraped)