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ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-generatedPipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
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A finite Baird-star update has exact expected weights

Example

Use the seven-state MDP with zero rewards, discount γ=0.99, dashed transitions uniform over the six upper states, solid transitions to the seventh state, behavior probabilities 6/7 dashed and 1/7 solid, target policy always solid, feature values 2wi+w8 at upper state si and w7+2w8 at s7, and initial vector w0=(1,1,1,1,1,1,10,1). Under the uniform-state expected semi-gradient TD(0) update, with step size α=1/100, the first reduced weight vector (a,b,c), where a=w1=⋯=w6, b=w7, and c=w8, is (4486/4375,174997/17500,9413/8750); in particular, the first six weights and w8 increase on this update.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The Baird seven-state model, feature values, policies, uniform state weighting, initial vector, and α=1/100 in the Example.

[F1]

Expected off-policy TD(0) diverges in Baird’s seven-state example: for the specified behavior transitions, the expected semi-gradient TD(0) update is wˉ+=w+α Eμ,b[ρδϕ(S)], where ρ=π(A∣S)/b(A∣S) and δ=γvw(S′)−vw(S).

Verification

1.1givenF1algebra

At w0, every upper-state value is 2(1)+1=3 and the seventh-state value is 10+2(1)=12. Thus qu=0.99(12)−3=222/25 and q7=0.99(12)−12=−3/25. The importance ratio is 7 on solid and 0 on dashed; because behavior selects solid with probability 1/7, at each fixed state the behavior-action expectation is its solid-action TD error. Uniformly averaging the seven state contributions gives increments per unit step size 2qu/7, q7/7, and (6qu+2q7)/7: each upper feature contributes 2qu to its own coordinate and qu to the common eighth coordinate, while the seventh feature contributes q7 and 2q7 to its last two coordinates. By [F1] these values are 444/175, −3/175, and 1326/175.

2.1givenstep 1.1algebra∎

Multiplying these increments by α=1/100 gives a1=1+444/17500=4486/4375, b1=10−3/17500=174997/17500, and c1=1+1326/17500=9413/8750, exactly as claimed; the displayed fractions give a1>1 and c1>1.

Depends on

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