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ExampleConstruction: Literature-sourcedVerification: AI-generatedPipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
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At discount one-half, identical observable laws hide different Bellman-error minima

Example

Assume Choice for the infinite trajectory laws and set γ=1/2. In MRP 1, the states are A,B; A→B has reward 0 deterministically, while B→A has reward 1 and B→B has reward −1, each with probability 1/2. Its stationary weighting is (1/3,2/3). In MRP 2, the states are A,B,B′; A→B and A→B′ each have reward 0 and probability 1/2, B→A has reward 1 deterministically, and B′→B and B′→B′ each have reward −1 and probability 1/2. Its stationary weighting is (1/3,1/3,1/3). Both processes use feature ψ(A)=(1,0) and ψ(B)=ψ(B′)=(0,1), and they induce the same stationary feature/reward sequence law. Their state-weighted mean square Bellman errors are

BE⁡1(a,b)=13(b2−a)2+23(a+b4−b)2,BE⁡2(a,b)=13[(b2−a)2+(1+a2−b)2+(−1−b2)2].

The unique minimizers are (0,0) for MRP 1 and (−2/7,1/7) for MRP 2. Their minimum Bellman errors are 0 and 25/42, respectively, while BE⁡2(0,0)=2/3.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The two finite transition/reward models, stationary weightings, common feature map, and γ=1/2 in the Example.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function; the theorem used in [F2] assumes this axiom to construct the infinite path laws.

[F1]

State-weighted Bellman error and projected Bellman error: the mean square Bellman error is the weighted sum of the squares of the conditional expected one-step TD errors.

[F2]

Feature-reward data do not determine the Bellman error or, at positive discount, its minimizer: for general 0≤γ<1, these models have identical observable laws, MRP 1 has unique minimizer (0,0), and MRP 2 has unique minimizer (−γ/(1+γ+γ2),γ/(2(1+γ+γ2))) with minimum (γ+2)2/(6(1+γ+γ2)).

Verification

1.1givenF2algebra

At γ=1/2, D=1+γ+γ2=7/4. Substitution in [F2] gives MRP 2’s minimizing parameter (−2/7,1/7) and minimum (5/2)2/(6⋅7/4)=25/42. The same substitution gives MRP 1’s minimizing parameter (0,0) and minimum 0.

2.1givenA1F1F2algebra∎

At w=(0,0) the MRP 2 residuals are 0,1,−1, so [F1] gives BE⁡2(0,0)=(02+12+(−1)2)/3=2/3. The MRP pair and common observation law are the γ=1/2 instance of [F2], whose path-law claim uses [A1], completing the example.

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