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Finite-dependent functional moving average

Statement

Let (ϵt)t∈Z be iid Rademacher variables and let e(u)=1 in H=L2([0,1],dt;R). The centered process Xt=(ϵt+2ϵt−1)e is a finite-dependent causal shift. Its physical-dependence coefficients satisfy δ1=22 and δm=0 for m≥2, while its long-run covariance is Γ=9(e⊗e). Under AC, the theorem Hilbert-valued CLT for L2-m-approximable Bernoulli shifts gives n−1/2∑t=1nXt⇒G, where G is centered Gaussian in H with covariance 9(e⊗e).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC and countably many iid Rademacher innovations.

[A1]

AC supplies Countable Choice and the countable independent family used here (The Axiom of Choice, Countably many independent copies of a prescribed law exist).

[F1]

The causal-shift definition specifies Xt,m by retaining the last m original innovations and independently replacing the earlier tail; the physical-dependence coefficient is the L2(H) norm of the difference (L2-m-approximable causal Bernoulli shifts).

[F2]

The stated two-point Rademacher law gives mean zero and variance one; independence of random elements means independence of their generated sigma-algebras, and expectations of independent integrable real products factor (Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable, Independent random elements, Expectations factor over finite products of independent random variables).

[F3]

Under AC, a centered L2-approximable causal shift has the Hilbert valued CLT with its long-run covariance operator (Hilbert-valued CLT for L2-m-approximable Bernoulli shifts).

[F4]

Independence of random elements is independence of their generated sigma-algebras, and disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family generate independent sigma-algebras (Independent random elements, Independent sigma-algebras and independent events, Disjoint groups of an independent sigma-algebra family remain independent).

Proof

Given: The innovations and the process in the Statement.

1.1A1F1F2algebra

The vector e has norm one, so Xt has mean zero and E∥Xt∥H2=E(ϵt+2ϵt−1)2=5 by [F2]. For m=1, the replacement changes only ϵ−1 in X0, so X0−X0,1=2(ϵ−1−ϵ0,1,−1′)e and [F2] gives δ12=4(1+1)=8. For m≥2, both innovations on which X0 depends are retained, so X0,m=X0 and δm=0. Hence ∑m≥1δm=22<∞.

1.2F2algebra

The lag-zero covariance is 5(e⊗e). At lag one, the only nonzero product in (ϵ0+2ϵ−1)(ϵ1+2ϵ0) is 2ϵ02, so EB[X0⊗X1]=2(e⊗e). Reversing the factors gives the same operator. At every lag ∣j∣≥2 the innovation sets are disjoint, so independence and centering make the covariance zero. Therefore the long-run covariance sum is (5+2+2)(e⊗e)=9(e⊗e).

1.3F1F4givenalgebra

Fix a cut a∈Z. The variables (ϵj)j∈Z are independent by the iid assumption, so their generated sigma-algebras form an independent family by Independent random elements and Independent sigma-algebras and independent events. Each Xs is measurable with respect to σ(ϵs,ϵs−1). Thus σ(Xs:s≤a)⊆σ(ϵj:j≤a), while σ(Xs:s≥a+2)⊆σ(ϵj:j≥a+1). By [F4] the two source sigma-algebras are independent; their sub-sigma-algebras generated by the process groups inherit independence. The process is therefore 1-dependent under the definition in L2-m-approximable causal Bernoulli shifts.

2.1F3step 1.1step 1.2∎

The moment, centering and summability conditions were verified in step 1.1, and step 1.2 gives the covariance required by [F3]. Applying [F3] proves the asserted sample-sum convergence; the Gaussian limit is allowed to have finite rank, as it does here. This conclusion concerns the H-valued sample sums.

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