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Gaussian conditioning with singular state covariance

Statement

Assume AC. Let Z=(Z1,Z2)∼N2(0,I2), where I2 is the 2×2 identity matrix, and set X=(Z1,Z1) and Y=Z1+Z2. The state covariance is singular, Var⁡(Y)=2>0, and the conditional law at every y∈R is X∣Y=y∼N2((y/2,y/2),(1/21/21/21/2)).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, Z∼N2(0,I2), and the definitions of X and Y in the Statement.

[A1]

AC is assumed by the multivariate-normal construction and conditional-law theorem. The Axiom of Choice.

[F1]

Under AC, Nd(m,Σ) exists for every positive-semidefinite covariance, has the stated mean and covariance, and is characterized by its Gaussian linear projections. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance.

[F2]

If a jointly Gaussian pair has block covariance (ACCTB) with B positive definite, its conditional kernel has mean a+CB−1(y−b) and covariance A−CB−1CT, which may be singular. Conditional law of a jointly Gaussian block with positive-definite observed covariance.

Verification

Given: AC and the Gaussian vector and affine definitions in the Statement, with facts [A1], [F1], [F2].

1.1A1F1givenalgebra

For any u1,u2,v∈R, u1X1+u2X2+vY=(u1+u2+v)Z1+vZ2 is Gaussian by [F1]. Its mean is zero. Computing covariances from Cov⁡(Z)=I2 gives A=(1111), C=(11), and B=(2). Since det⁡A=0, the state covariance is singular.

2.1step 1.1algebra

The observed block B=(2) is positive definite. Its inverse is (1/2), so A−CB−1CT=(1/21/21/21/2) and CB−1(y−0)=(y/2,y/2). The conditional covariance is also singular, with determinant zero.

3.1A1F2step 2.1given∎

Apply [F2] with these blocks. It gives the displayed conditional Gaussian kernel for every y, despite singularity of A and the conditional covariance; no inverse or pseudoinverse of either is used.

Depends on

Used by

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Sources