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ExampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-generatedPipeline-generatedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
How statement and proof provenance work

The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.

  • Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
  • AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
  • AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.

These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.

An unvalidated calibration offset leaves the true quantity unidentified

Example

Suppose one instrument reading R is modeled by R=q+b, where q∈R is the true quantity and b∈R is an unvalidated calibration offset. Take sample space (R,P(R)), parameter set Θ=R2, and sampling law P(q,b)=δq+b. The target is ψ(q,b)=q. The recorded reading determines the sum q+b, but the experiment does not separately determine q and b. Thus the unvalidated assumption b=0 is not established by this reading model; an external calibration standard or additional model structure would be needed to support it.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The experiment and target just specified, with the offset b unrestricted in Θ.

[F1]

Statistical experiments: an experiment consists of a measurable space, a parameter set, and a family of probability measures on that space.

[F2]

Parametric statistical models: a parametric model is the map from its parameter set to the probability measures of its experiment; the map need not be injective.

[F3]

The Dirac set function at a point: δx(A)=1 exactly when x∈A and is zero otherwise.

[F4]

A Dirac set function is a probability measure: a Dirac set function is a probability measure on the chosen sigma-algebra.

[F5]

Estimands on a statistical model: an estimand is a specified target-valued function on the parameter set.

[F6]

Identifiability of an estimand: an estimand is identifiable when equal sampling laws imply equal target values.

[F7]

Scientific statistical model contracts: a formal contract does not prove that a model or calibration assumption is scientifically or physically applicable.

Verification

1.1givenF1F2F4construct

For each (q,b)∈Θ, [F4] makes P(q,b) a probability measure. Hence the family is an experiment by [F1], and its parameter map is a parametric model by [F2].

1.2givenF5F6

The map ψ:Θ→R, (q,b)↦q, is the specified estimand by [F5]. The criterion in [F6] therefore applies to this target.

2.1givenF3F6F7algebrastep 1.2∎

For any (q,b)∈Θ, let (q′,b′)=(q+1,b−1). Both parameter pairs lie in Θ and q′+b′=q+b, so for every A⊆R, P(q,b)(A)=1{q+b∈A}=1{q′+b′∈A}=P(q′,b′)(A) by [F3]. But ψ(q′,b′)=q+1≠q=ψ(q,b). Thus ψ is not identifiable by [F6]; by [F7], this model conclusion does not establish any physical calibration claim.

Remarks

The calibration offset is substantively untestable from this one-reading law alone. If calibration data identify b at a known value b0, or the model fixes b=b0, then the observation R=q+b0 determines q=R−b0 in the resulting model. Additional data or nontrivial restrictions on b may still leave q unidentified. The proof uses no axiom of choice.

Depends on

Used by

Nothing in the library uses this result yet.

Dependency tree · two levels

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