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Conditional-kernel tail and atom evaluations are measurable

Statement

Let K be a probability kernel from (S,Σ) to (R,B(R)). Define a(s,t):=K(s,(t,∞)),b(s,t):=K(s,{t}). Both maps are Σ⊗B(R)-measurable. If S0 and T0 are measurable random elements of S and R on one probability space, and U is any measurable real random variable on that space, then a(S0,T0), a(S0,T0)+b(S0,T0), and a(S0,T0)+Ub(S0,T0) are measurable. The middle expression equals K(S0,[T0,∞)).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A probability kernel K, measurable random elements S0,T0, and a measurable real random variable U.

[F1]

For every measurable target set C, s↦K(s,C) is measurable, and each section K(s,⋅) is a probability measure. Measure kernel and probability kernel

[F2]

Product sigma-algebras are generated by measurable rectangles. The product sigma-algebra and its finite iterates

[F4]

The Borel sigma-algebra is generated by open sets, so every open interval is Borel. The Borel sigma-algebra of a topological space

[F5]

Integrating a nonnegative product-measurable function against a probability kernel gives a measurable function of the kernel parameter, with infinity allowed. Measurability of integration against a kernel

[F6]

A random element is a measurable map into its specified measurable space. Random elements and real random variables

[F7]

Continuous maps have Borel-measurable preimages, and measurable maps compose. A continuous map has Borel preimages of Borel sets, Composition with a Borel measurable outer map preserves measurability

Proof

1.1F1F2construct

Let πS:S×R→S be the first-coordinate projection and define K~((s,t),C):=K(s,C). The projection is measurable because πS−1(A)=A×R for every A∈Σ; hence [F1] and [F2] show that K~ is a probability kernel from (S×R,Σ⊗B(R)) to R.

1.2F2F3F4

The relation {(t,y):y>t} is ⋃q∈Q(−∞,q)×(q,∞): density in [F3] supplies a rational strictly between t and y, and every point in a displayed rectangle has t<y. The relation {(t,y):y<t} has the analogous representation ⋃q∈Q(q,∞)×(−∞,q). These are countable unions of Borel rectangles by [F3] and [F4], and the equality relation is their joint complement. Therefore all three relations belong to B(R)⊗B(R). The coordinate map (s,t,y)↦(t,y) is measurable because inverse images of generating rectangles are S×B×C; taking inverse images now proves the two relation indicators in the domain of K~ are product-measurable.

2.1F1F5step 1.1step 1.2

Apply [F5] to K~ and the two indicator functions of the relation sets in step 1.2. Their section integrals are ∫1{y>t}K(s,dy)=K(s,(t,∞))=a(s,t) and ∫1{y=t}K(s,dy)=K(s,{t})=b(s,t), so both maps are product-measurable.

3.1F1F2F3F6F7step 2.1∎

For n=2,3, fix a bijection e:Q→N supplied by [F3]. Each rational open box is encoded by a finite tuple of natural numbers, and iterating the injection (a,b)↦2a(2b+1) shows there are only countably many such boxes. Density of Q then shows they form a base of Rn: each point of an open set lies in such a box contained in that set. Thus each open set is a countable union of rectangles in the finite product sigma-algebra, giving B(Rn)⊆B(R)⊗n. Conversely, each coordinate projection πi:Rn→R is continuous, so [F7] makes πi−1(A) Borel for every A∈B(R); finite intersections show every measurable rectangle is Borel, giving the reverse inclusion. Hence the Borel product and Euclidean Borel sigma-algebras agree in both dimensions. The map ω↦(S0(ω),T0(ω)) is measurable because the inverse image of each generating rectangle A×B is S0−1(A)∩T0−1(B); therefore a(S0,T0) and b(S0,T0) are measurable by [F6] and [F7]. The sets (t,∞) and {t} are disjoint and their union is [t,∞), so finite additivity gives a(S0,T0)+b(S0,T0)=K(S0,[T0,∞)). The map (x,z)↦x+z is continuous by ∣(x+z)−(x0+z0)∣≤∣x−x0∣+∣z−z0∣. The map (x,z,u)↦x+uz is continuous because ∣(x+uz)−(x0+u0z0)∣≤∣x−x0∣+∣u∣⋅∣z−z0∣+∣z0∣⋅∣u−u0∣, and ∣u∣ is bounded in a sufficiently small neighborhood of u0. The pairs and triples of the real measurable functions already obtained and U are measurable because inverse images of generating product rectangles are finite intersections of coordinate preimages. The established Borel-product equalities make these continuous maps measurable by [F7]. Composition by [F7] proves measurability of the asserted sums.

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