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For n1 independent random signs, P(St)2exp(t2/(2n)) for t>0

Statement

Let ε0,,εn1 be mutually independent uniform random signs, where n1, and put S=i<nεi. For every t>0, P(St)2exp ⁣(t22n).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Independent random signs, n1, their sum S, and t>0.

[L1]

Markov gives P(Ya)E[Y]/a for nonnegative Y and a>0 (Markov's inequality on a finite probability space).

[L2]
[L3]

A uniform sign satisfies E[exp(uε)]exp(u2/2) (For a uniform random sign ε, E[etε]et2/2).

[L4]

The exponential is strictly increasing (The exponential function is strictly increasing).

[L5]

Probability of a finite union is at most the sum of the probabilities (The finite union bound).

[L6]

Mutual independence is the factorization of all joint attained-value probabilities (Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables).

Proof

technique · direct
1.1

For u>0, strict monotonicity gives {St}={exp(uS)exp(ut)}, so [L1] gives P(St)exp(ut)E[exp(uS)].

L1L4
1.2

By [L2] and [L3], E[exp(uS)]exp(nu2/2).

L2L3algebra
2.1

Choose u=t/n>0. Substitution in steps 1.1 and 1.2 gives P(St)exp(t2/(2n)).

step 1.1step 1.2choosealgebra
3.1

Negation merely relabels the two attained values of each sign, so the joint-value factorization in [L6] shows that the variables εi are again mutually independent uniform signs. Step 2.1 applied to S gives the same bound for P(St).

step 2.1L6algebra
4.1

Since {St}={St}{St}, [L5] and steps 2.1 and 3.1 give the result. The excluded boundary t=0 would only give the valid but uninformative bound 12.

step 2.1step 3.1L5

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