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Continuous cost-optimal stratified allocation

Statement

Use the notation of Stratified sampling designs and the stratified total estimator and Unbiasedness and variance of the stratified total estimator. Let J be a nonempty set of variable noncertainty strata with Sh>0, and hold all other allocations fixed. Assign each h∈J a positive per-unit cost ch. For a fixed positive residual cost budget C⋆, the uncapped continuous relaxation of the stratified variance expression, minimized over positive real allocations xh>0 for every h∈J subject to ∑h∈Jchxh=C⋆, has the unique minimizer xh=C⋆NhSh/ch∑k∈JNkSkck(h∈J). Thus xh∝NhSh/ch. As in the fixed-size result, this continuous formula does not enforce integer, capacity, lower-bound, or minimum-sample constraints.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite stratified SRSWOR design, a nonempty set J of variable noncertainty strata with Sh>0, fixed allocations outside J, per-unit costs ch>0, and a positive residual cost budget C⋆.

[F1]

Stratified sampling designs and the stratified total estimator: For each noncertainty stratum, Sh2 is the finite-population variance and Sh=Sh2 denotes its nonnegative standard deviation. The hypothesis Sh>0 is imposed only for h∈J.

[F2]

Unbiasedness and variance of the stratified total estimator: The variable variance term for stratum h is Nh2(1−nh/Nh)Sh2/nh; contributions from fixed strata do not depend on the variable allocation.

Proof

1.1givenF1F2algebra

Put ah=NhSh>0. Replacing nh by xh in [F2] gives Nh2(1−xh/Nh)Sh2/xh=ah2/xh−NhSh2. The subtracted and fixed-stratum terms do not vary with x, so it suffices to minimize ∑h∈Jah2/xh subject to ∑h∈Jchxh=C⋆.

2.1givenstep 1.1algebra

Set ph=ah/xh and qh=chxh. Expanding and grouping unordered pairs gives (∑hph2)(∑hqh2)−(∑hphqh)2=∑h<k(ph2qk2+pk2qh2−2phpkqhqk)=∑h<k(phqk−pkqh)2≥0. Since ∑hqh2=C⋆ and ∑hphqh=∑hahch, the objective is at least (∑hahch)2/C⋆, with equality exactly when ah/(xhch) is constant.

3.1givenstep 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

The allocation xh⋆=C⋆(ah/ch)/(∑k∈Jakck) is positive and satisfies ∑hchxh⋆=C⋆. It makes ah/(xh⋆ch) constant and attains step 2.1's bound; the equality condition uniquely determines it. By step 1.1 it uniquely minimizes the relaxed variance and gives the stated formula.

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