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TheoremStatement: Literature-sourcedProof: AI-adaptedPipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)verified 2026-10-22 (gpt-6.1-sol)
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Finite linear Gaussian inverse posterior with singular prior covariance

Statement

Assume AC. Let n,m≥1, m0∈Rn, and let C0∈Rn×n be symmetric with vTC0v≥0 for every v∈Rn. Let A∈Rm×n and let Γ∈Rm×m be symmetric positive definite, meaning uTΓu>0 for every nonzero u∈Rm. Suppose X and η are independent random vectors with laws X∼Nn(m0,C0) and η∼Nm(0,Γ), and set Y=AX+η. Define μ0(E)=P(X∈E) for Borel E⊆Rn, and set S=AC0AT+Γ. Then S is positive definite. For each y∈Rm, define Φy(x)=12(y−Ax)TΓ−1(y−Ax),Z(y)=∫Rne−Φy(x) μ0(dx). For every y, 0<Z(y)<∞, so the normalized potential update Πy(E)=∫Ee−Φy(x) μ0(dx)Z(y)(E∈B(Rn)) is a probability measure and equals the conditional-law version obtained by conditioning the observation model at y. Its Gaussian formula, defined for every y, is Nn ⁣(m0+C0ATS−1(y−Am0), C0−C0ATS−1AC0). Let PY(B)=P(Y∈B) for Borel B⊆Rm. Conditional-law versions are unique only PY-almost surely. The displayed mean and covariance formulas invert only S, not C0; C0 and the posterior covariance may be singular. The prior support is m0+Ran⁡(C0).

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; a finite-dimensional Gaussian prior Nn(m0,C0) with C0⪰0; independent Gaussian observation noise Nm(0,Γ) with Γ≻0; and the linear observation map A.

[A1]

AC is assumed by the repository's multivariate-normal, Gaussian-process, and finite Gaussian conditioning interfaces. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

A finite Gaussian law is characterized by its Gaussian scalar projections, permits singular covariance, and has the covariance-square-root representation. Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance

[F2]

The prior is supported on m0+Ran⁡(C0) and admits coordinates C0=UΛUT with a standard Gaussian vector on that range. Support and pseudoinverse coordinates of a finite singular Gaussian

[F3]

A real process is Gaussian when all its finite linear combinations are normal. Gaussian process

[F4]

Independence of random elements is independence of their generated sigma-algebras. Independent random elements

[F5]

Measurable functions of independent random elements remain independent. Measurable coordinatewise functions preserve independence

[F6]

For a finite Gaussian process with independent Gaussian observation noise, if the observed covariance is positive definite, the conditional law of the test vector is the Gaussian with mean m∗+K∗X(KXX+R)−1(y−mX) and covariance K∗∗−K∗X(KXX+R)−1KX∗, defined for every y even when the prior or conditional covariance is singular. Finite Gaussian-process posterior and predictive laws

[F7]

A positive-definite Gaussian observation-noise covariance has the Lebesgue density proportional to exp⁡(−12zTΓ−1z), which is strictly positive everywhere. A positive-definite multivariate normal law has its Gaussian density

[F8]

The inverse-problem potential update is the prior reweighted by e−Φy and normalized by its evidence when that evidence is positive and finite. Misfit evidence and the potential posterior law

[F9]

A finite continuous potential with lower envelope 0 under a proper prior on a separable Banach space has positive finite evidence at every datum. Function-space posterior propriety from a common lower envelope

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1givenalgebra

For v∈Rm∖{0}, vTSv=(ATv)TC0(ATv)+vTΓv>0, since the first term is nonnegative and the second is positive. Thus S≻0 and S−1 exists.

1.2A1F1F3givenconstructalgebra

Let T be the finite index set with state indices s1,…,sn and observation indices o1,…,om. Define fsi=Xi and foj=(AX)j. Every finite linear combination of these coordinates is a linear projection of X, so it is normal by [F1] and f is a Gaussian process by [F3]. Its covariance blocks are KSS=C0, KSO=C0AT, and KOO=AC0AT.

1.3F7F8F9givenalgebra

For each fixed y, Φy is finite, continuous, and nonnegative on Rn, and (x,y)↦Φy(x) is jointly continuous. The prior μ0 is a probability on the separable Banach space Rn, and the envelope M1(r)=0 satisfies ∫eM1(∥x∥2) μ0(dx)=1. Therefore [F9] gives 0<Z(y)<∞ for every y, and [F8] defines Πy. The likelihood density from [F7] is a positive constant independent of x times e−Φy(x); its constant cancels in the normalized update.

2.1A1F4F5F6givenstep 1.1step 1.2algebra

The vector f is a measurable function of X, so [F4] and [F5] make η independent of f. The observed covariance is KOO+Γ=S≻0 by step 1.1. Applying [F6] with test list S and observation list O gives the displayed Gaussian conditional-law version for every y.

2.2F2F7F8step 1.3given

Suppose r=rank⁡(C0)>0. By [F2], write C0=UΛUT and represent X as m0+Lξ, where L=UΛ1/2 and ξ∼Nr(0,Ir). Put B=AL and d=y−Am0. By the pushforward formula for μ0 and the likelihood in [F7], the density of the normalized update in these coordinates is proportional, for every y, to exp⁡ ⁣(−12[ξTξ+(d−Bξ)TΓ−1(d−Bξ)]). This is a pointwise fixed-data calculation; it does not replace the all-data version convention in step 1.3.

3.1F2F7step 2.2algebra

Set Q=Ir+BTΓ−1B and h=BTΓ−1d. Then Q≻0, and expansion gives ξTξ+(d−Bξ)TΓ−1(d−Bξ)=(ξ−Q−1h)TQ(ξ−Q−1h)+dTΓ−1d−hTQ−1h. Thus the update in step 2.2 is the Gaussian law of ξ with mean Q−1h and covariance Q−1, so the update of X=m0+Lξ has mean m0+LQ−1BTΓ−1d and covariance LQ−1LT.

4.1step 1.1step 3.1algebra

Since S=Γ+BBT, multiplication gives QBT=BTΓ−1S, hence Q−1BTΓ−1=BTS−1. Also Q(Ir−BTS−1B)=Q−QBTS−1B=Ir, so Q−1=Ir−BTS−1B. Substituting these identities into step 3.1 yields m0+LQ−1BTΓ−1d=m0+C0ATS−1d and LQ−1LT=C0−C0ATS−1AC0. These are exactly the mean and covariance in the Statement.

5.1F2F7F8step 2.1step 1.3algebra∎

If r=0, [F2] gives C0=0 and X=m0 almost surely. Reweighting a point mass by the positive likelihood leaves that point mass, while the displayed formulas reduce to mean m0 and covariance 0. This also matches the conditional version from step 2.1 and proves the rank-zero boundary. Thus the fixed-data update and the stated all-data conditional version have the displayed law in every rank case.

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