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Exact limits in the known-blank equal-variance normal model

Statement

Assume AC, σ0>0, 0<α,β<1/2, and kQ>0. Consider the response-only experiment with concentration c∈[0,∞) and X∼N(c,σ02) under each c. Reject the blank when X>LC. For the coefficient-of-variation criterion CV⁡(c)≤kQ, the exact critical level, detection limit for false-negative target β, and quantification limit are LC=z1−ασ0,LD=(z1−α+z1−β)σ0,LQ=σ0kQ. where zq is the unique standard normal q-quantile from The standard normal CDF has unique symmetric quantiles. These formulas are conditional on the known-blank, equal-variance normal model.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; σ0>0; 0<α,β<1/2; kQ>0; and the experiment X∼N(c,σ02) for each concentration c≥0.

[A1]

AC is required by the standard normal-law construction. The Axiom of Choice Standard normal and normal laws

[F1]

The response laws are location-scale images of the standard normal law: N(c,σ02) is the law of c+σ0Z. Standard normal and normal laws

[F2]

The standard normal CDF is continuous and strictly increasing, its q-quantiles satisfy Φ(zq)=q, and z1−q=−zq; in particular z1/2=0. The standard normal CDF has unique symmetric quantiles

[F3]

For a location-scale normal law, Ec[X]=c and Var⁡c(X)=σ02. Location-scale normal laws have their stated mean and variance

[F4]

For a simple null {0}, the size is E0[φ(X)] for the test function φ. Test size and power

[F5]

Every measurable φ:R→[0,1] defines a randomized test under the binary-action convention. Every measurable rejection function defines a randomized test Randomized tests

[F6]

The Borel sigma-algebra of R is generated by its open sets. The Borel sigma-algebra of a topological space

[F7]

Measurability means inverse images of measurable target sets are measurable. A measurable function between measurable spaces

[F8]

An exact critical level and the least-concentration definitions of LD and LQ are those of Critical, detection, and quantification levels.

[F9]

A statistical experiment is a measurable data space with a parameter-indexed family of probability laws. Statistical experiments

[F10]

For every measurable event A, E[1A]=P(A). The expectation of an indicator is the probability of the event

[F11]

For a probability measure, P(Ac)=1−P(A). Basic identities for a probability measure

[F12]

The CDF of a real random variable is FX(x)=P(X≤x). Cumulative distribution function of a real random variable

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1A1F1F2F4F5F6F7F8F9F10F11algebra

Set LC=z1−ασ0 and φ(x)=1{x>LC}. For every Borel B⊆[0,1], φ−1(B) is one of ∅,R,(LC,∞),(−∞,LC]; these are Borel, so [F6] and [F7] make φ measurable. By [F5] it defines a test in the experiment [F9]. Under the blank, X=σ0Z in law by [F1], hence P0(X>LC)=1−Φ(z1−α)=α by [F2] and [F11]. By [F4], the simple-null size is E0[φ(X)]; [F10] identifies it with P0(X>LC). Thus LC is an exact critical level by [F8].

2.1A1F1F2F8F12step 1.1algebra

For any c≥0, the affine law in [F1] and CDF definition [F12] give Pc(X≤LC)=Φ((LC−c)/σ0). By strict increase and uniqueness in [F2], this equals β exactly when (LC−c)/σ0=zβ. Hence the unique solution is c=σ0(z1−α−zβ)=σ0(z1−α+z1−β), using the symmetry in [F2]. Since z1/2=0 and Φ is strictly increasing by [F2], while 1−α,1−β>1/2, both quantiles in the sum are positive. This solution is therefore the least positive concentration and is LD by [F8].

3.1A1F3F8algebra∎

For c>0, [F3] gives CV⁡(c)=Var⁡c(X)/Ec[X]=σ0/c. Since σ0,kQ>0, the inequality σ0/c≤kQ is equivalent to c≥σ0/kQ. Its least positive solution is therefore LQ=σ0/kQ by [F8].

Source notes

The exact formulas are derived from the stated normal law and the local quantile and moment lemmas. NIST SP 958 reports rounded known-blank values under α=β=0.05, constant σ0, and 10% relative standard deviation; Eurachem's normal-tail discussion uses the corresponding approximate 1.65+1.65 factor. Neither source is used in place of the local derivation.

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