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m-out-of-n bootstrap and subsampling recover the uniform endpoint root

Statement

For each n≥1, let X1,…,Xn be IID uniform on [0,1], Mn=max⁡i≤nXi, and Rn=n(Mn−1). Let m=mn be integers with 1≤mn<n for all sufficiently large n, mn→∞, and mn/n→0. Form the conditional m-out-of-n bootstrap and subsampling roots Rm,n∗=m(Mm,n∗−Mn),Rm,nsub=m(MI−Mn), where Mm,n∗ is the maximum of m draws with replacement from Pn, and MI is the maximum over a uniformly selected m-subset. For each method, its conditional CDF converges uniformly in probability to F(x)={ex,x<0,1,x≥0. This is also the limiting CDF of the actual m-root m(Mm−1). Here first-order validity means that the conditional CDF converges in probability to this actual-root limit; the theorem asserts no uniform validity over other distribution classes.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The IID uniform sample, its empirical law Pn, the maximum Mn, and an integer sequence m→∞ with m/n→0.

[F1]

m-out-of-n bootstrap and subsampling: The with-replacement root uses conditionally IID draws from Pn and scale am; the without-replacement root uses a uniform m-subset and also scale am.

[F2]

Identical distribution and IID families: The observations have a common law and are mutually independent.

[F4]

Bernoulli random variables and binomial random variables as sums of independent Bernoulli trials: A binomial(n,p) count is the sum of n independent Bernoulli(p) indicators.

[F5]

A Bernoulli(p) variable has mean p and variance p(1−p); a binomial(n,p) variable has mean np and variance np(1−p): If N∼Binomial⁡(n,p), then E[N]=np and Var⁡(N)=np(1−p).

[F6]

Chebyshev's inequality for random variables: For square-integrable Y and t>0, P(∣Y−EY∣≥t)≤Var⁡(Y)/t2.

[F7]

Pointwise CDF convergence to a continuous law is uniform: Pointwise convergence in probability of random CDFs to a continuous CDF implies uniform CDF convergence in probability.

[F10]

The natural logarithm has derivative 1/x and equals the integral from 1 to x of 1/t: For x>0, log⁡′(x)=1/x and log⁡x=∫1xdt/t.

Proof

Given: The objects and hypotheses in the statement.

1.1givenF2F3F10algebra

For a size-k IID uniform sample, P{k(Mk−1)≤x}=0 for x<−k, equals (1+x/k)k for −k≤x<0, and is 1 for x≥0. For fixed x<0, [F10] gives klog⁡(1+x/k)→x, so these CDFs converge to F(x)=ex; for x≥0 they equal 1. The limiting CDF is continuous, including at zero.

1.2givenF2F4F5F6F10algebra

Fix x<0 and put c=−x>0, Dn=1−Mn, and Kn(c)=#{i:Xi>Mn−c/m}. For fixed t>0 and all sufficiently large m, each indicator 1{Xi>1−t/m} is Bernoulli(t/m), and the indicators are independent by [F2]; hence Nn(t):=#{i:Xi>1−t/m} is binomial by [F4]. By [F5]–[F6], mNn(t)/n→t in probability, since its mean is t and its variance is t(m/n)(1−t/m)→0. Also mDn→0 in probability, since for each η>0 and large m, P(mDn>η)=(1−η/m)n. By [F10], log⁡(1−u)=−∫1−u1dt/t≤−u for 0<u<1, so this probability is at most e−ηn/m→0.

2.1step 1.2F1F10algebra

For any 0<η<c, on mDn≤η the interval from 1 down to Mn−c/m has width between c/m and (c+η)/m, so Nn(c)≤Kn(c)≤Nn(c+η). Fix ρ>0 and choose 0<η<min⁡(c,ρ/3). Step 1.2 gives mNn(c)/n→c and mNn(c+η)/n→c+η, while P(mDn>η)→0; the sandwich therefore gives mKn(c)/n→c and Kn(c)/n→0 in probability. For un=Kn(c)/n, the integral identity in [F10] gives ∣log⁡(1−un)+un∣≤un2/(1−un) when un<1. Since mun→c and un→0, mun2/(1−un)→0, hence (1−un)m→e−c. By [F1], the conditional with-replacement CDF is P∗(Rm,n∗≤x)=(1−Kn(c)/n)m→e−c=ex.

3.1givenF1step 2.1algebra

For subsampling, the conditional probability that every selected observation is at most Mn−c/m is P∗(Rm,nsub≤x)=(n−Kn(c)m)/(nm)=∏j=0m−1(1−un,j), where un,j=Kn(c)/(n−j); this formula holds on n−Kn(c)≥m, an event whose probability tends to one by step 2.1 and m/n→0.

3.2givenstep 2.1algebra

We have max⁡j<mun,j≤(Kn(c)/n)/(1−m/n)→0 in probability, and ∑j=0m−1un,j=(mKn(c)/n)⋅m−1∑j=0m−1n/(n−j)→c, because the average factor lies between 1 and (1−m/n)−1→1. Therefore ∑jun,j2≤(max⁡jun,j)∑jun,j→0.

4.1F10step 3.1step 3.2algebra

With probability tending to one, all un,j<1; [F10] and ∣log⁡(1−u)+u∣≤u2/(1−u) then show ∑jlog⁡(1−un,j)→−c, so the product in step 3.1 tends to e−c=ex.

5.1F1F7step 1.1step 2.1step 3.1step 3.2step 4.1∎

For x≥0, both resampled maxima are at most Mn, so both conditional CDFs equal 1. Step 1.1 gives the continuous sampling-root limit F, while steps 2.1 and 4.1 prove pointwise convergence for negative x; [F7] upgrades each method's conditional CDF convergence to uniform convergence in probability. Step 1.1 also identifies F as the limiting CDF of the actual size-m sampling root, which is the first-order target specified in the statement. The use of the actual size-m scale is essential in steps 2.1–4.1.

The m-regime alone is insufficient. Take the singleton class P={P} with P=δ0, target θ(P)=0, statistic Tk(z1,…,zk)=1/k, and normalization ak=k. Let mn=⌊n⌋. For all n≥4, 1≤mn<n, and mn→∞, mn/n→0, and amn/an=mn/n→0. The actual size-n and size-mn roots are both identically 1, so their CDFs Jn,P and Hmn,P coincide exactly. For either resampling method, every resampled statistic is 1/mn, so H^m,n is the point-mass CDF at 1−mn/n. With α1=α2=1/4, both quantiles equal 1−mn/n and In={mn/n2}. Since mn/n2>0, the coverage of θ(P)=0 is zero for every n≥4. Thus uniform CDF approximation of the actual m-root by the feasible resampling root, and the associated quantile coverage guarantee, do not follow from the m-regime even when the actual n-root and m-root laws coincide.

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