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The CHSH bound and the finite-sampling law for independent trials

Statement

No choice principle is used. Let (Ω,F,P) be a probability space (Probability measures and probability spaces).

(a) CHSH bound. Let A0,A1,B0,B1:Ω→{−1,1} be random variables with values in {−1,1} (Random elements and real random variables). Then the four expectations exist and

∣E[A0B0]+E[A0B1]+E[A1B0]−E[A1B1]∣≤2.

(b) Positive-probability sequences. Let N≥1, m≥1, p1,…,pm≥0 with ∑j=1mpj=1, and let X1,…,XN:Ω→{1,…,m} be mutually independent with P(Xk=j)=pj for all k,j (Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables). Then for every sequence (j1,…,jN)∈{1,…,m}N with pjk>0 for every k,

P(Xk=jk for every k)=∏k=1Npjk>0.

Consequently every event disjoint from this outcome has probability at most 1−∏kpjk<1: any criterion that rejects at least one such sequence has positive failure probability under this sampling model.

(c) Binomial frequency. Let S be binomial(N,p) with N≥1 and p∈[0,1] (Bernoulli random variables and binomial random variables as sums of independent Bernoulli trials). Then the frequency S/N satisfies E[S/N]=p, Var⁡(S/N)=p(1−p)/N, and for every ε>0

P(∣S/N−p∣≥ε)≤p(1−p)Nε2.

(d) Multinomial count law. The number of sequences (j1,…,jN) with prescribed fibre sizes nj:=#{k:jk=j} is the multinomial coefficient (Nn1,…,nm) (The multinomial coefficient (nk0,…,km−1) as the number of ordered partitions of an n-set into blocks of prescribed sizes), and each such sequence has probability ∏j=1mpjnj; in this displayed product use the zero-count convention p0:=1 for every p∈[0,1], including p=0. Hence the probability that the count vector equals (n1,…,nm) is (Nn1,…,nm)∏jpjnj.

No statistical inference, empirical claim or measured frequency is asserted; the lemma only computes probabilities of an explicitly specified independent sampling model.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A probability space (Ω,F,P); variables Ai,Bj with values in {−1,1}; independent {1,…,m}-valued X1,…,XN; a binomial(N,p) variable S.

[F1]

A probability measure P is countably additive on disjoint families, hence finitely additive (Measures on sigma-algebras, Probability measures and probability spaces); a real random variable is a measurable Ω→R (Random elements and real random variables).

[F2]

E[aX+bY]=aE[X]+bE[Y] for integrable X,Y and scalars a,b; E[X]≤E[Y] almost surely for integrable real X≤Y; ∣E[X]∣≤E[∣X∣] (Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation, Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable).

[F3]

A finite family (Xi) of finite-valued random variables is mutually independent when P(Xj=xj for all j∈J)=∏j∈JP(Xj=xj) for every nonempty J and every selection xj∈Xj(Ω) (Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables).

[F5]

For a real random variable, Var⁡(X)=E[(X−E[X])2] when X is square-integrable, and P(∣X−E[X]∣≥a)≤Var⁡(X)/a2 for a>0 (Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space, Chebyshev's inequality for random variables).

[F6]

The multinomial coefficient (Nn1,…,nm) is the number of colourings c:{1,…,N}→{1,…,m} with ∣c−1[{j}]∣=nj for every j, defined only when ∑jnj=N (The multinomial coefficient (nk0,…,km−1) as the number of ordered partitions of an n-set into blocks of prescribed sizes).

Proof

1.1givenF2algebra

[Pointwise CHSH identity] Fix ω∈Ω. Since B0(ω),B1(ω)∈{−1,1}, the numbers B0(ω)+B1(ω) and B0(ω)−B1(ω) are ±2 or 0, and exactly one of them is nonzero: the first is 0 precisely when B1(ω)=−B0(ω), in which case the second is ±2, and otherwise the first is ±2 and the second 0. Hence A0(B0+B1)+A1(B0−B1) equals ±2 at every ω, so its absolute value is bounded by 2 pointwise and E[A0B0]+E[A0B1]+E[A1B0]−E[A1B1]=E[A0(B0+B1)+A1(B0−B1)] by linearity [F2], the variables being bounded hence integrable. The monotonicity and modulus bound of [F2] applied to the pointwise bound −2≤A0(B0+B1)+A1(B0−B1)≤2 give the stated ≤2 bound.

1.2givenF1F3algebra

[Positive-probability sequences] Since pjk>0, each event {Xk=jk} is nonempty and jk∈Xk(Ω). By mutual independence [F3] applied to the full index set J={1,…,N} and the selection xk=jk, P(Xk=jk for all k)=∏kP(Xk=jk)=∏kpjk, which is a product of positive reals and hence positive. If an event R is disjoint from {Xk=jk for all k}, then P(R)≤1−∏kpjk<1 by additivity and complementation [F1].

1.3givenF2F4F5algebra

[Binomial frequency moments] By [F4], S is a sum of N mutually independent Bernoulli(p) variables, with E[S]=Np and Var⁡(S)=Np(1−p). Linearity [F2] gives E[S/N]=1NE[S]=p; and by the definition of variance [F5], Var⁡(S/N)=E[(S/N−p)2]=1N2E[(S−Np)2]=1N2Var⁡(S)=p(1−p)N. Applying the Chebyshev inequality [F5] to the square-integrable variable S/N with parameter ε>0 gives P(∣S/N−p∣≥ε)≤p(1−p)/(Nε2).

2.1givenF1F3F6algebra∎

[Multinomial count law] A sequence (j1,…,jN) is exactly a function c:{1,…,N}→{1,…,m}, with fibre sizes nj; by [F6] the number of such functions with prescribed fibre sizes is (Nn1,…,nm). If some jk∉Xk(Ω), the sequence event is empty, and pjk=P(Xk=jk)=0, so its probability and ∏kpjk are both zero. Otherwise every selected label lies in the corresponding image, and independence [F3] gives probability ∏kpjk. Thus in either case each sequence has probability ∏kpjk=∏jpjnj, because the exponent of pj is the number of k with jk=j, namely nj; when nj=0 the sequence contains no factor pj, and the displayed product convention in (d) assigns that factor the value 1, also when pj=0. The count event is the disjoint union of the corresponding sequence events, so finite additivity [F1] gives probability (Nn1,…,nm)∏jpjnj.

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