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The CHSH bound and the finite-sampling law for independent trials
Statement
No choice principle is used. Let be a probability space (Probability measures and probability spaces).
(a) CHSH bound. Let be random variables with values in (Random elements and real random variables). Then the four expectations exist and
(b) Positive-probability sequences. Let , , with , and let be mutually independent with for all (Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables). Then for every sequence with for every ,
Consequently every event disjoint from this outcome has probability at most : any criterion that rejects at least one such sequence has positive failure probability under this sampling model.
(c) Binomial frequency. Let be binomial with and (Bernoulli random variables and binomial random variables as sums of independent Bernoulli trials). Then the frequency satisfies , , and for every
(d) Multinomial count law. The number of sequences with prescribed fibre sizes is the multinomial coefficient (The multinomial coefficient as the number of ordered partitions of an -set into blocks of prescribed sizes), and each such sequence has probability ; in this displayed product use the zero-count convention for every , including . Hence the probability that the count vector equals is .
No statistical inference, empirical claim or measured frequency is asserted; the lemma only computes probabilities of an explicitly specified independent sampling model.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: A probability space ; variables with values in ; independent -valued ; a binomial variable .
A probability measure is countably additive on disjoint families, hence finitely additive (Measures on sigma-algebras, Probability measures and probability spaces); a real random variable is a measurable (Random elements and real random variables).
for integrable and scalars ; almost surely for integrable real ; (Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation, Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable).
A finite family of finite-valued random variables is mutually independent when for every nonempty and every selection (Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables).
A binomial variable is a sum of mutually independent Bernoulli variables; and (Bernoulli random variables and binomial random variables as sums of independent Bernoulli trials, A Bernoulli variable has mean and variance ; a binomial variable has mean and variance ).
For a real random variable, when is square-integrable, and for (Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space, Chebyshev's inequality for random variables).
The multinomial coefficient is the number of colourings with for every , defined only when (The multinomial coefficient as the number of ordered partitions of an -set into blocks of prescribed sizes).
Proof
[Pointwise CHSH identity] Fix . Since , the numbers and are or , and exactly one of them is nonzero: the first is precisely when , in which case the second is , and otherwise the first is and the second . Hence equals at every , so its absolute value is bounded by pointwise and by linearity [F2], the variables being bounded hence integrable. The monotonicity and modulus bound of [F2] applied to the pointwise bound give the stated bound.
[Positive-probability sequences] Since , each event is nonempty and . By mutual independence [F3] applied to the full index set and the selection , , which is a product of positive reals and hence positive. If an event is disjoint from , then by additivity and complementation [F1].
[Binomial frequency moments] By [F4], is a sum of mutually independent Bernoulli variables, with and . Linearity [F2] gives ; and by the definition of variance [F5], . Applying the Chebyshev inequality [F5] to the square-integrable variable with parameter gives .
[Multinomial count law] A sequence is exactly a function , with fibre sizes ; by [F6] the number of such functions with prescribed fibre sizes is . If some , the sequence event is empty, and , so its probability and are both zero. Otherwise every selected label lies in the corresponding image, and independence [F3] gives probability . Thus in either case each sequence has probability , because the exponent of is the number of with , namely ; when the sequence contains no factor , and the displayed product convention in (d) assigns that factor the value , also when . The count event is the disjoint union of the corresponding sequence events, so finite additivity [F1] gives probability .
Depends on
Probability measures and probability spaces
Random elements and real random variables
Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable
Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation
Pairwise and mutual independence of finite-valued random variables
Bernoulli random variables and binomial random variables as sums of independent Bernoulli trials
A Bernoulli variable has mean and variance ; a binomial variable has mean and variance
Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space
Chebyshev's inequality for random variables
The multinomial coefficient as the number of ordered partitions of an -set into blocks of prescribed sizes
Measures on sigma-algebras