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CounterexampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-generatedprecheck passjudge pass (gpt-5.6-terra)audited 2026-09-04
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A random variable need not have a finite expectation

Statement refuted

Every real random variable has a finite expectation.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The set Ω=N≥1 with its power-set sigma-algebra, the weights pn=1/(n(n+1)), and the coordinate map X(n)=n.

[L1]

Expectation of a nonnegative random variable is allowed to take the value +∞ (Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable).

[L2]

The integral of a nonnegative simple function is its weighted level-set sum, and monotone convergence passes increasing nonnegative limits through the integral (The integral of a nonnegative simple function, The nonnegative integral agrees with the simple integral on simple functions, Monotone convergence for the integral).

Counterexample

technique · direct
1.1givenconstructalgebra

Define P(A):=∑n∈Apn(A⊆Ω). The total mass is ∑n=1∞1n(n+1)=∑n=1∞(1n−1n+1)=1. If (Aj)j≥0 is pairwise disjoint, regrouping the nonnegative series gives P ⁣(⋃j≥0Aj)=∑j≥0∑n∈Ajpn=∑j≥0P(Aj). Thus P is a probability measure on the power set of Ω, and X(n)=n is a measurable real random variable.

2.1L1L2step 1.1algebra

Put XN:=X1{1,…,N}. The functions XN increase pointwise to X. By [L1], [L2], and monotone convergence, E[X]=lim⁡N→∞E[XN]=lim⁡N→∞∑n=1Nn1n(n+1)=∑n=1∞1n+1=+∞. Thus the expectation exists only as an extended value, not as a finite real number, exactly as [L1] allows.

3.1step 1.1step 2.1∎

Steps 1.1 and 2.1 refute the claim that every random variable has finite expectation.

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Sources