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Taking out an unbounded factor needs integrability
Statement refuted
Under the AC conditional-class convention, omitting product integrability from the signed taking-out rule can leave its left side undefined even when both factors are integrable and the product of the factor with the conditional mean is zero.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The proposed signed taking-out rule with product integrability omitted; a countable atomic witness will be constructed.
The Dirac set function is the indicator that the specified point belongs to an event. (The Dirac set function at a point)
Each Dirac set function is a probability measure. (A Dirac set function is a probability measure)
Countable nonnegative weighted sums are defined eventwise. (Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures)
Nonnegative weighted sums of measures are measures. (Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures)
Integer powers at the positive base two are defined. (Integer powers )
For |r|<1 the geometric series from n=0 sums to 1/(1-r). (For , , and for the series diverges)
A measure of total mass one is a probability measure. (Probability measures and probability spaces)
The signed conditional expectation requires an integrable real input. (Conditional expectation as an ae class)
The taking-out rule requires integrability of the input product. (Taking out what is known)
Integrals on the countable atomic space are sums, by increasing partial sums for nonnegative functions. (Monotone convergence for the integral)
Counterexample
Let with its power-set sigma-algebra. By [F5]–[F6], . Set . These weights are positive finite numbers.
Define . The Dirac probabilities [F1]–[F2] and weighted-sum construction [F3]–[F4] make this a measure on all subsets. Its mass is , so [F7] makes it a probability measure. In particular each atom (n,s) has mass w_n.
Let , and . Z is finite G-measurable, X is real measurable, and [F10] evaluates their absolute moments as sums. Using [F6], and . Thus each is integrable.
Each G-event is a union of two-point fibres. On the nth fibre the X integral is ; summing is legitimate by the finite absolute moment in step 3.1. Consequently the zero function has every defining event integral and is a version of by [F8]. Hence is integrable.
But . Its positive-part integral is , and the negative-part integral has exactly the same value. These sums are nonnegative integrals by [F10]. Thus the signed expectation would require infinity minus infinity; ZX is not an input to [F8]. The left side of [F9] is undefined in that sense although the proposed right side is zero. This proves the failure when the product-integrability hypothesis is omitted.
Source notes
Durrett Theorem 4.1.14, printed pp.212–213, states the integrable-product hypothesis. The constructed atomic counterexample, its normalization and all moments are independently calculated here.
Depends on
- Taking out what is known
- Conditional expectation as an ae class
- The Axiom of Choice
- Integer powers $a^m$
- For $|r| < 1$, $\sum_{k \ge 0} r^k = 1/(1-r)$, and for $|r| \ge 1$ the series diverges
- Probability measures and probability spaces
- The Dirac set function at a point
- A Dirac set function is a probability measure
- Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures
- Nonnegative scalar multiples and countable weighted sums of measures are measures
- Monotone convergence for the integral
Used by
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Sources
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, 5th ed. (standard reference, not scraped)