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Clipping an understated thinning envelope changes the waiting-time law

Statement

Assume Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. Consider the one-state system E={0} with one zero-increment channel ν=0 and constant propensity a(t,0)=2. Its first marked reaction time has survival e−2t. If an implementation incorrectly uses the understated envelope Λ=1 and clips the acceptance probability a/Λ=2 to 1, it accepts every rate-one candidate, so its first marked reaction time has survival e−t. These laws differ for every t>0. The specified algorithm requires a valid envelope and does not clip: a detected violation returns invalid-envelope, and the exact-thinning theorem asserts no law under a failed envelope.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: Countable Choice, Dependent Choice, and the one-state time-dependent propensity system above and the candidate-thinning algorithm.

[F1]

A zero increment is an allowed marked reaction that leaves the state unchanged, while its propensity still contributes to the total event rate. (Finite-channel reaction propensity systems and their generator)

[F2]

The thinning algorithm requires a supplied envelope certificate, reports a detected violation as invalid-envelope, and does not clip propensities. (Dominating thinning for bounded time-varying propensities)

[F3]

Under Countable Choice and Dependent Choice, exact thinning conclusions require the certified envelope; if it fails, the theorem asserts no path law. (Dominating thinning has the prescribed reaction law)

[F4]

Under Countable Choice and Dependent Choice, for a finite-state reaction system with a specified initial state and unlimited event budget, the Gillespie direct method uses an exponential holding time with parameter equal to the total propensity. (Finite-state Gillespie and next-reaction methods have the specified CTMC law)

Proof

technique · direct
1.1F1F4givenalgebra

The target system has constant total rate 2; [F4] therefore gives its first marked-event survival e−2t. This is an event even though ν=0, by [F1].

2.1F2step 1.1algebra

A rate-one candidate process has no candidate by time t with probability e−t. The clipped rule accepts every candidate, hence its first accepted-event survival is e−t; for t>0, e−t≠e−2t. Thus clipping changes the event law.

3.1F2F3step 2.1given∎

Here a=2>Λ=1, so the required certificate is false. The specified procedure therefore lies outside the theorem's hypothesis and, whenever the violation is evaluated at a candidate, returns invalid-envelope; [F2] expressly forbids continuing by clipping.

Depends on

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