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Sobolev rate for spline-series training risk

Statement

Assume AC. Let a<b and let X,Y be real random variables on a common probability space with E∣Y∣<∞. Choose a regular conditional law Q(x,dy) of Y given X=x, and let g0 be the selected Borel regression-function version from Regression target and chosen version. Suppose PX is supported on [a,b] and has a Lebesgue density bounded almost everywhere by a finite constant MX, g0∣(a,b)∈Ws,2(a,b) for an integer s≥1, and ∫(y−g0(x))2Q(x,dy)≤Δ for PX-almost every x, where 0≤Δ<∞. Fix a degree p∈N0 with p≥s−1. For each integer J≥1, use the uniform partition into J cells and the degree-p B-spline space with each interior knot repeated p+1 times, so its dimension is K=(p+1)J. For n≥1 iid observations from the joint law PX(dx)Q(x,dy), let g^K be the fitted training vector and g0=(g0(X1),…,g0(Xn))T. Then E[1n∥g^K−g0∥22]≤ΔKn+Cs,p,MX,a,b K−2s∥Dsg0∥L2(a,b)2. Choosing J≍n1/(2s+1) (equivalently K≍n1/(2s+1) for fixed p) gives expected empirical training risk O(n−2s/(2s+1)). This is not an independent-test-risk bound.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; integer orders s≥1 and p≥s−1; bounded design density on [a,b]; g0∈Ws,2(a,b); and the iid conditional-variance model of Expected empirical training risk for spline series least squares.

[A1]

Assume AC The Axiom of Choice, as required by the one-dimensional Sobolev representative supplier used in the approximation theorem.

[A2]

E∣Y∣<∞, g0 is the selected regression-target version, g0∣(a,b)∈Ws,2(a,b), the design has a Lebesgue density bounded by MX, 0≤Δ<∞, s∈N, and p∈N0 with p≥s−1.

[F1]

The generic empirical training-risk bound is ΔK/n plus the squared L2(PX) approximation error (Expected empirical training risk for spline series least squares).

[F2]

For a bounded local quasi-interpolant reproducing Ps−1, the L2 approximation error is bounded by a constant times hs∥Dsg0∥2; the cellwise L2 projector on the full-multiplicity uniform spline mesh is an admissible choice (Sobolev approximation by local spline quasi-interpolants).

[F3]

Under AC and E∣Y∣<∞, a supplied regular conditional law gives a Borel conditional-mean version g0(x)=∫y Q(x,dy) on integrable fibers; smoothness of this chosen version is an additional hypothesis (Regression target and chosen version).

[F4]

A clamped degree-p knot vector with J uniform cells, each of its J−1 interior knots repeated p+1 times, has N=(J+1)(p+1) knots and therefore K=N−p−1=(p+1)J B-splines; the B-splines form a basis of the piecewise-polynomial space (B-spline spaces and knot conventions, B-spline basis properties and polynomial reproduction).

Proof

technique · direct
1.1A1A2F2F3F4givenalgebraconstruct

By [F3], the conditional mean used here is the selected Borel version required by the data-model interface. Let f be its continuous Sobolev representative on [a,b] from [F2]; since PX has a Lebesgue density, f=g0 PX-almost surely. On each cell of length h=(b−a)/J, use the cellwise L2 projector Qh constructed in [F2] on f. The resulting piecewise polynomial belongs to the spline space with full interior multiplicity p+1. Its dimension is K=(p+1)J by [F4], so the global basis theorem gives a deterministic coefficient vector βˉK with Qhf=pKTβˉK. The projector family is local and reproduces Pp, hence also Ps−1; [F2] gives ∥f−Qhf∥L2(a,b)≤Cs,phs∥Dsf∥L2(a,b). The density bound implies ∫∣g0−pKTβˉK∣2dPX=∥f−Qhf∥L2(PX)2≤MX∥f−Qhf∥L2(a,b)2. Since K=(p+1)J and p is fixed, h≍K−1, so the squared approximation error is at most Cs,p,MX,a,bK−2s∥Dsf∥22. This supplies the approximation hypothesis of [F1] with γ=s and C=Cs,p,MX,a,b1/2∥Dsf∥2≥0.

2.1A1A2F1step 1.1algebra∎

Insert this approximation bound into [F1]. The result is ΔK/n+Cs,p,MX,a,bK−2s∥Dsg0∥22. For J≍n1/(2s+1), both terms have order n−2s/(2s+1) because K=(p+1)J and p is fixed. The criterion is evaluated at the training inputs in [F1], so no independent test-risk statement follows.

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