Alphabeta Math
DefinitionDefinition: Literature-sourcedProof: Not applicablePipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
How statement and proof provenance work

The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.

  • Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
  • AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
  • AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.

These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.

Best linear forecast from a finite history

Definition

Let X=(Xt)t∈Z be a weakly stationary real process on one probability space, with common mean μ, and let n,h≥1 be integers. Its finite-history best linear forecast of Xn+h from X1,…,Xn is the unique almost-sure class minimizing squared L2 error over the affine subspace Mn:={[a0+a1X1+⋯+anXn]:a0,…,an∈R}⊆L2(P). Here [Z] denotes the almost-sure equivalence class of a square-integrable random variable, as in The space Lp(μ) as the quotient by null functions, and the finite linear span uses Linear combination of a finite list, and the span span⁡(S) as the smallest linear subspace containing S. Weak stationarity and its moment conditions are those of Strict and weak stationarity for integer-indexed time series. Existence and uniqueness of the minimizing class are established by Existence and uniqueness of the finite-history predictor class ↗. The term best linear refers to this affine L2 projection; it does not assert equality with a conditional expectation without additional hypotheses.

Depends on

Used by

Dependency tree · two levels

21 results within two dependency steps of this one, each drawn at its shortest distance from it. An arrow runs from a result to what uses it, so the chart reads left to right and ends at this result, which carries a heavier outline. Every node is a link to that result. Click elsewhere on the chart to enlarge it.

Sources