Alphabeta Math
ExampleConstruction: AI-generatedVerification: AI-generatedPipeline-generated
How statement and proof provenance work

The first chip identifies the source of the statement or construction; the second identifies the source of its local proof or verification.

  • Literature-sourced: the exact statement appears in a cited source; only wording and notation differ.
  • AI-adapted: a semantically identical restatement of literature-sourced material, modulo indexing, notation, and boundary cases adopted by the library.
  • AI-generated: a genuinely novel statement formulated by AI, with no source for the claim itself.

These labels describe origin, not correctness: citations and verification chips remain separate evidence.

Uncorrelated white noise need not be iid

Example

Let (Ut)t∈Z be iid Rademacher variables, P(Ut=1)=P(Ut=−1)=1/2, and define Xt:=Ut−1(1+Ut). Then X is strictly stationary, centered, has variance 2, and has zero covariance at every nonzero lag, but Xt and Xt+1 are dependent. Thus the white-noise assumption used for the ARMA spectrum does not itself imply iid innovations.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A two-sided iid family of Rademacher random variables and Xt=Ut−1(1+Ut).

[F1]

Identical distribution and IID families: iid means mutual independence and a common marginal law.

[F2]

Independent random elements have product joint law: finite subfamilies of the iid sequence have product joint laws, unchanged by a common shift of the indices.

[F3]

Expectations factor over finite products of independent random variables: expectations of products of integrable functions of independent variables factor.

[F4]

Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space defines the means, variances, and covariances used below.

[F5]

Strict and weak stationarity for integer-indexed time series, Autocovariance and sample autocovariance, and Linear processes, white noise, and ARMA models: strict stationarity is shift invariance of finite-dimensional laws; weak stationarity uses the constant mean and lag-only autocovariance; white noise is centered with finite positive variance and zero nonzero-lag covariance.

Verification

1.1F1F2givenconstruct

Every finite tuple of X values is the same coordinatewise measurable function of a finite tuple of iid U values. By [F1]–[F2], shifting all indices leaves the latter tuple's law unchanged, so the finite-dimensional laws of X are shift invariant. Thus X is strictly stationary.

2.1F3F4F5step 1.1givenalgebra

Independence and [F3] give E[Xt]=E[Ut−1]E[1+Ut]=0 and E[Xt2]=E[Ut−12]E[(1+Ut)2]=2. For lag one, E[XtXt+1]=E[Ut−1(1+Ut)Ut(1+Ut+1)]=0 because Ut−1 is independent of the remaining factors and has mean zero. For lag h≥2, Xt and Xt+h use disjoint iid coordinates, so they are independent and centered and their covariance is zero. Negative lags have the same covariance by symmetry. Hence X is weakly stationary and is white noise with variance 2.

3.1F1givenstep 2.1algebra∎

Let A={Xt=0} and B={Xt+1=2}. Since Ut−1∈{−1,1}, A={Ut=−1} and P(A)=1/2. The event B requires Ut=Ut+1=1, so P(B)=1/4 while A∩B=∅. Therefore P(B∣A)=0≠P(B), proving that adjacent observations are dependent.

Depends on

Used by

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Sources