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A one-sided normal likelihood ratio at the boundary
Example
Assume the Axiom of Choice (The Axiom of Choice). Let be iid , let the full parameter space be , and test against the full model at the boundary value . The likelihood-ratio statistic converges to , where ; by Chi-square laws, including zero degrees this is , not the ordinary law.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The normal-location model, the one-sided null, and iid sampling at .
AC is used by the normal-law convention and the iid central limit theorem (The Axiom of Choice).
has density ; affine transformations define (Standard normal and normal laws).
and, for , is the law of the sum of squares of independent standard normals (Chi-square laws, including zero degrees).
The local-cone likelihood-ratio theorem gives the Fisher-distance difference when QMD, local set convergence, a uniform local quadratic expansion and tight local maximizers hold (Likelihood-ratio limit for local cones in a QMD model).
The iid central limit theorem applies to real observations with finite nonzero variance (Lindeberg-Levy iid central limit theorem); the definition of iid includes mutual independence (Identical distribution and IID families).
A continuous function of a weakly convergent random variable converges in distribution (Continuous mapping theorem). Weak convergence also gives the closed-set probability upper bound (Portmanteau theorem).
Expectation is integration against the law, and variance is the centered second moment (Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable, Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space).
QMD at an interior point is the square-root-density score expansion in with squared remainder (Quadratic-mean differentiability at a parameter).
Gaussian even moments for Brownian increments: under AC, a centered normal variable of variance has second and fourth moments and . To instantiate the supplier, take the centered standard normal variable as , the constant as , and the labels , , then use ; no Brownian process is needed.
Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product: integration against a density is integration of the product.
A continuous function on is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion: continuous functions on compact parameter intervals are bounded and Riemann integrable.
A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral: under Countable Choice, bounded Riemann-integrable functions have the same Lebesgue integral on a compact interval; the assumed AC supplies this premise.
Lebesgue outer measure, Lebesgue measurability and Lebesgue measure are unchanged by translation: translation preserves Lebesgue measurability and measure. For a nonnegative measurable function, translating each simple function below it gives a bijection of the simple minorants with unchanged integrals; taking the defining supremum therefore preserves its nonnegative integral.
Cauchy-Schwarz inequality for : the integral of an absolute product is bounded by the product of the norms.
Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: nonnegative product-measurable functions on sigma-finite spaces admit either order of integration.
The second fundamental theorem: if is differentiable on with and is integrable, then : an integrable derivative integrates to its endpoint difference.
Verification
Given: The model and hypotheses above. Let .
In this unit-variance example put .
Put . Direct differentiation gives and . Its square is a polynomial times . By [F8] and [F9], and , so . Also has second moment . The identity and [F12] give the same norm for every real shift . With , Cauchy–Schwarz [F13] gives , so the even normal density [F1] gives and . The two-variable functions and are continuous. To verify the needed product measurability locally, the rectangles with rational endpoints form a countable base of : inside any open ball about a point, density of the rationals gives a rational rectangle containing that point and contained in the ball. Every open subset is therefore the union of the subfamily of these rectangles contained in it, hence a countable union of measurable product rectangles. Thus preimages of open subsets under these continuous functions belong to , and also to the product of the Lebesgue sigma-algebras. Their squares and restrictions to compact parameter intervals are consequently product measurable, as required by Tonelli below.
For fixed , the functions and are continuous on each compact interval. By [F10] they are Riemann integrable, by [F15] their integrals are respectively and , and [F11] identifies these with their Lebesgue integrals under the assumed AC. Reversed endpoints give the same identities for negative .
Cauchy–Schwarz [F13] on the interval between and , then Tonelli [F14] and step 1.1, gives . The second identity of step 2.1 and another Cauchy–Schwarz/Tonelli application give . For negative use on the length- interval; the same first bound holds. This proves QMD with the explicitly supplied normal densities, score , and positive information by [F7].
Under , the local sets are and for every , so they are already their limiting closed convex cones. Direct expansion gives with and zero remainder. The full and null local maximizers are and . By [F4] and the mean and variance from step 1.1, . Choose a large with small and apply [F5] to the closed tails to see that both maximizer sequences are tight. Thus all hypotheses of [F3] hold with .
Completing the square in gives the full MLE and the constrained MLE . Hence the finite-sample likelihood-ratio statistic is . By [F5], . Its CDF is for and for , so it has mass at zero. By symmetry, for , while [F1] gives ; hence has the mixture law , not .
Remarks
The null tangent is a half-line rather than a linear subspace. The atom at zero is the concrete failure of the regular interior chi-square calibration at this boundary.
Depends on
- Likelihood-ratio limit for local cones in a QMD model
- Quadratic-mean differentiability at a parameter
- Standard normal and normal laws
- The Axiom of Choice
- Chi-square laws, including zero degrees
- Identical distribution and IID families
- Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable
- Moments, variance, and covariance on a probability space
- Convergence in distribution for real random variables
- Lindeberg-Levy iid central limit theorem
- Portmanteau theorem
- Continuous mapping theorem
- Gaussian even moments for Brownian increments
- Integrating against a density agrees with integrating the product
- A continuous function on $[a,b]$ is Riemann integrable, by Heine-Cantor and Riemann's criterion
- A bounded Riemann integrable function on a closed bounded interval is Lebesgue measurable and has the same integral
- Lebesgue outer measure, Lebesgue measurability and Lebesgue measure are unchanged by translation
- Cauchy-Schwarz inequality for $L^2$
- Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product
- The second fundamental theorem: if $G$ is differentiable on $[a,b]$ with $G' = f$ and $f$ is integrable, then $\int_a^b f = G(b)-G(a)$
Used by
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Sources
- Peter Bartlett, Theoretical Statistics, Stat 210B Lecture 26 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Steven G. Self and Kung-Yee Liang, Asymptotic Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators and Likelihood Ratio Tests Under Nonstandard Conditions (standard reference, not scraped)