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A conditional mixture is a probability path

Statement

Let λ, π, and ρ satisfy the conditional probability-density path definition, and for each t∈[0,1] set pt(x)=∫Rdρt(x∣x1) π(dx1). Then pt is a nonnegative measurable function and ∫Rdpt(x) λ(dx)=1 for every t; hence it is a probability density with respect to λ.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A sigma-finite Borel measure λ, a Borel probability measure π, and a conditional density ρt normalized for π-almost every endpoint.

[F1]

Probability paths and velocity fields: ρt(x∣x1) is product-measurable, nonnegative, and has λ-integral 1 for π-almost every x1; pt(x) is its π-mixture.

[F2]

Tonelli's theorem for nonnegative measurable functions on a sigma-finite product: for a nonnegative product-measurable function on two sigma-finite measure spaces, the section integrals are measurable and either iterated integral equals the product integral.

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1givenF1F2

Fix t∈[0,1]. The measures λ and π are sigma-finite, and (x,x1)↦ρt(x∣x1) is nonnegative and product-measurable by [F1]. Tonelli's theorem [F2] therefore makes x↦pt(x) measurable and gives ∫Rdpt(x) λ(dx)=∫Rd(∫Rdρt(x∣x1) λ(dx))π(dx1).

2.1step 1.1F1algebra∎

The inner integral in step 1.1 equals 1 for π-almost every x1 by [F1]. Since π is a probability measure, the right-hand side is ∫1 dπ=1. The mixture is nonnegative by [F1], so pt is a probability density with respect to λ.

Source notes

The normalization is proved locally by Tonelli; the source citations document the conditional-to-marginal mixture convention.

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Sources