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Finite masking path law factors backward by its posterior rows

Statement

Fix a clean string x∈VL and let qx be the finite forward path law of the absorbing-mask chain. For every path (z0,…,zN) with qx(z0,…,zN)>0, the reversed path probability factors as qx(z0,…,zN)=qx(ZN=zN)∏j=N1qx(Zj−1=zj−1∣Zj=zj). Each factor on the right is the true one-step posterior conditional on the clean string x; the identity is asserted only on positive-probability paths.

Statement references

Finite masking diffusion chain: the conditional forward path mass is the product of its one-step transition rows.

Posterior of a finite masking chain: gives the finite conditional law of each preceding state given x and the current state.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A fixed clean string x, the finite Markov path mass, and a positive-probability path z0,…,zN. Prove the reversed factorization.

[F1]

Finite masking diffusion chain: conditional on x, the path mass is 1{z0=x}∏j=1Naj(zj−1,zj), with each transition depending only on its preceding state.

[F2]

Finite masking-chain transitions define a probability law: these path masses form a probability law on the finite path space.

[F3]

Posterior of a finite masking chain: for a positive-probability current state, the conditional law of Zj−1 given x,Zj is the stated posterior row.

Proof

1.1F1F2givenalgebra

Fix j and a positive-probability suffix (zj,…,zN). By [F1], for every prefix ending at zj, the probability of adjoining the fixed future suffix is multiplied by the same factor ∏k=j+1Nak(zk−1,zk), which does not depend on zj−1. Summing over earlier coordinates preserves this common factor, so it cancels in the conditional ratio. Thus qx(Zj−1=zj−1∣Zj=zj,…,ZN=zN)=qx(Zj−1=zj−1∣Zj=zj) on this positive suffix.

2.1F2F3step 1.1algebra∎

Repeated finite conditioning in reverse order gives qx(z0:N)=qx(zN)∏j=N1qx(zj−1∣zj,…,zN). Replace each suffix conditional by step 1.1 and identify the one-step row using [F3]. The resulting equality is the displayed factorization, including N=1.

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Sources