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TV-close laws have identical Huber mixtures at the contamination threshold

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let P0,P1 be probability measures on one measurable space. If 0≤ϵ<1 and ∥P0−P1∥TV≤ϵ/(1−ϵ), there are probability measures Q0,Q1 for which

(1−ϵ)P0+ϵQ0=(1−ϵ)P1+ϵQ1.

At ϵ=1, the same equality is possible without a TV condition.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The Axiom of Choice, probability measures P0,P1, and the stated total-variation condition.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: the proof uses the choice-qualified Radon–Nikodym supplier to obtain nonnegative density representatives.

[F1]

Total variation distance for probability laws: ∥P0−P1∥TV=sup⁡A∣P0(A)−P1(A)∣.

[F2]

Probability measures and probability spaces: P0 and P1 are nonnegative measures of total mass one.

[F3]

The Radon-Nikodym derivative as an almost-everywhere equivalence class: the Radon–Nikodym derivative is an almost-everywhere class of densities satisfying the setwise integral formula, under the hypotheses of its existence theorem.

[F4]

A sigma-finite positive measure has a nonnegative Radon–Nikodym density version: under AC, if μ and λ are sigma-finite positive measures on the same measurable space and λ≪μ, then dλ/dμ has a finite-valued nonnegative measurable representative.

[F5]

The Lebesgue integral is linear on L1(μ) and Monotonicity and nonnegative homogeneity of the nonnegative integral: integrable differences have linear integrals, and order bounds pass to their nonnegative integrals.

[F6]

Closure properties of measurable functions used by the integral: sums, differences, and positive and negative parts of measurable real functions are measurable.

[F7]

Extended-real-valued measurable functions: the level sets of a measurable real-valued function are measurable.

[F8]

The indefinite integral of a nonnegative measurable function is a measure: a nonnegative measurable density defines a measure by integration over measurable sets.

[F9]

A convex mixture of probability laws is a probability law: convex mixtures of probability measures are probability measures.

[F10]

Huber contamination model: the one-observation law is the mixture (1−ϵ)Pθ+ϵQ.

Proof

1.1givenF1choose

If ϵ=1, set Q0=Q1=P0; both displayed mixtures equal P0. If ϵ<1 and ∥P0−P1∥TV=0, [F1] gives P0=P1, so again set Q0=Q1=P0. It remains to consider 0<ϵ<1 and δ:=∥P0−P1∥TV>0.

1.2A1F2F3F4choose

Put ν=P0+P1. Countable additivity and nonnegativity of P0,P1 show that ν is a positive measure, and ν(X)=2, so it is finite and sigma-finite. If ν(A)=0, then P0(A)+P1(A)=0 with both terms nonnegative, so each is zero; hence Pi≪ν. By [A1], [F3], and [F4], choose nonnegative measurable densities pi with Pi(A)=∫Api dν for every measurable A. In particular ∫pi dν=1, so pi∈L1(ν).

2.1F1F5F6F7step 1.2algebra

Let g=p0−p1, with measurable positive and negative parts g+,g− by [F6]. Since ∫g dν=0, [F5] gives ∫g+ dν=∫g− dν. For every measurable A, ∣∫Ag dν∣≤max⁡(∫g+ dν,∫g− dν); the set A={g>0} is measurable by [F7] and attains ∫Ag dν=∫g+ dν. Therefore [F1] gives δ=∫g+ dν=∫g− dν.

3.1F8step 2.1algebra

Define Q0(A)=δ−1∫Ag− dν and Q1(A)=δ−1∫Ag+ dν. By [F8] these are measures; step 2.1 gives total mass one, so they are probability measures.

4.1givenF2F3F4F9step 3.1algebra

Let ϵ′=δ/(1+δ). The assumed inequality implies ϵ′≤ϵ, and ϵ′/δ=1−ϵ′. The densities of (1−ϵ′)P0+ϵ′Q0 and (1−ϵ′)P1+ϵ′Q1 are respectively (1−ϵ′)(p0+g−)=(1−ϵ′)max⁡(p0,p1) and (1−ϵ′)(p1+g+)=(1−ϵ′)max⁡(p0,p1). Both mixtures are probability measures by [F9], and equal densities give equality of the measures.

5.1F9F10step 4.1algebra

By [F10], the target laws have the Huber mixture form. Since ϵ>0, set Q~i=(ϵ′/ϵ)Qi+(1−ϵ′/ϵ)Pi. By [F9] each Q~i is a probability measure, and (1−ϵ)Pi+ϵQ~i=(1−ϵ′)Pi+ϵ′Qi. Step 4.1 therefore gives the required equality at the original fraction ϵ.

6.1step 1.1step 5.1∎

Steps 1.1 and 5.1 cover all endpoint and positive-distance cases, respectively.

Depends on

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