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The product-prior posterior factors by coordinates
Statement
Assume countable choice for the -valued prior construction. Let the wavelet product prior have independent coefficients , where the are IID with density . Observe the independent Gaussian sequence
where the have the standard normal density and are independent of the prior. Assume a data-indexed posterior kernel for the -valued prior is supplied as part of this model. In the product white-noise model, for every finite set of coefficient indices its conditional law of given the full data sequence is the product of the one-coordinate densities
Here abbreviates a pair and . For , the formula denotes the unit law on the zero-dimensional one-point space. Each denominator is strictly positive and finite: the Gaussian factor is everywhere positive and at most , while the prior density integrates to .
Facts & Assumptions
Identical distribution and IID families: The prior coefficients are mutually independent and have a common law; scaling by the fixed positive preserves coordinate independence.
Independent random elements are characterized by finite rectangle probabilities: Independence of random elements is equivalent to factorization of probabilities on all finite measurable rectangles.
Dynkin's pi-lambda theorem: If a lambda-system contains a generating pi-system, it contains the generated sigma-algebra.
The wavelet product prior is L2-valued: The wavelet prior coefficients define an -valued random element under the stated scale and finite-second-moment conditions.
The Axiom of Countable Choice (): Countable choice is used only for the -valued prior construction supplied by [L1]; the finite-coordinate factorization argument itself uses no choice axiom.
The full data-indexed posterior kernel on is supplied as part of the model. We use the version whose finite-coordinate marginals are the displayed densities; the proof verifies their conditional-law identities under the prior-predictive model. This item does not claim a general full-kernel existence theorem.
Given: Countable choice, the product prior, the independent Gaussian coordinate experiment, and the supplied posterior kernel [A2]. The coordinate marginal formula is verified below.
Proof
For each coordinate , the pair is a measurable function of the independent pair . Thus the coordinate pairs are independent: finite rectangle probabilities factor by [F1] and [F2]. Fix finite . For any cylinder event depending on finitely many observations outside , the random vector is independent of by that same factorization. The events in for which this independence identity holds form a lambda-system containing the outside-coordinate cylinder pi-system; [F3] extends it to all outside-data events. Hence conditioning on adds no information about once is known.
For finite , the joint prior density of is the product of , and the likelihood of is proportional to . Each one-dimensional normalizer is at most and is positive: the Gaussian factor is bounded by , is strictly positive everywhere, and the prior density integrates to . Thus the normalized product density is . Integrating it over rectangles in and verifies the conditional-law identity for these coordinates. The prior is a Borel probability on by [L1] under [A1], and [A2] supplies the full posterior kernel; step 1.1 extends the finite-coordinate identity to the full observation sequence.
The product of the one-coordinate conditional densities in step 2.1 is exactly the stated finite-dimensional posterior marginal, so the posterior factors by coordinates for every finite index set .
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Sources
- Castillo and Nickl, Nonparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorems in Gaussian white noise, §3.1, printed pp. 2013–2014 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Giné and Nickl, Mathematical Foundations of Infinite-Dimensional Statistical Models, §7.3.3, printed pp. 583–585 (standard reference, not scraped)