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Weak nonparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorem for product priors
Statement
Let be the S-regular wavelet basis in Logarithmic negative Sobolev spaces for white noise, with coefficients at each level . For , put and let the prior on have IID coefficients with density . Assume countable choice for the prior construction supplied by The wavelet product prior is L2-valued, and take the full posterior kernel as the supplied model input of The product-prior posterior factors by coordinates. Let , write and , and suppose
where is a probability density satisfying for every , for , , and is continuous at each . The observation model is
with standard white noise ; in the stated basis this is the sequence experiment with independent standard normal coordinates. Let be the product-coordinate posterior of The product-prior posterior factors by coordinates. Let be the law of the canonical white noise in and define
For every ,
in probability under the true white-noise law . This is a bounded-Lipschitz weak BvM conclusion; it asserts neither total-variation convergence on all Borel subsets nor an -valued Gaussian limit.
Facts & Assumptions
Logarithmic negative Sobolev spaces for white noise: has norm , where , and its trace sum is finite for .
The wavelet product prior is L2-valued: The product prior series defines an -valued random element for and finite coefficient second moment.
White noise is a Borel Gaussian law on the negative Sobolev space: The canonical white-noise coefficient sequence has Borel Gaussian law on for , is not -valued, and satisfies for every .
A negative-Sobolev posterior second-moment bound: For any , is bounded uniformly in .
Finite-coordinate posterior total-variation limit: For every fixed finite coordinate projection, the posterior and standard Gaussian densities of converge in in probability.
The product-prior posterior factors by coordinates: A supplied posterior kernel has product-coordinate marginals with densities proportional to .
Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables: On any probability space, for square-integrable real random variables.
Markov's inequality for random variables: For nonnegative and , .
The Axiom of Countable Choice (): Countable choice supplies the prior construction and the density normal-law interface used by [F3]. The full posterior kernel is supplied as model input by [F6]; the posterior moment estimate, finite-coordinate convergence, and projection/tail inequalities introduce no further choice axiom.
Given: Countable choice, the basis, prior, truth, density conditions, white-noise experiment, and the supplied posterior kernel of [F6]. The stated bounded-Lipschitz convergence is proved below without using full AC.
Proof
Fix and choose with . Let retain all wavelet coordinates with level . Since and , for one has For any probability law on , coupling with and using the defining Lipschitz bound gives .
For a fixed , the middle term in tends to zero in probability: [F5] gives convergence of the projected posterior and Gaussian coordinate densities. Every bounded-Lipschitz test function restricted to the projected subspace is bounded by , so its integral difference is at most that distance.
The last term is bounded by , which is at most by [F3] and [F7]. This tends to zero as by [F1].
Under the joint true-data/posterior law, using the supplied posterior model [F6] and the prior construction [F2], , where has law . By [F4], [F3] and , with independent of . Applying [F7] under the posterior probability and then under the true-data probability, together with step 1.1, gives Thus the first projection error can be made uniformly small by taking large.
Fix and choose so the expected first and deterministic third terms are each less than . By [F8], the probability that the first term exceeds is at most ; the deterministic third term is less than . For this fixed , step 1.2 makes the probability that the middle term exceeds tend to zero. The triangle bound then gives a limiting upper bound for the probability that the full distance exceeds . Since is arbitrary, in -probability.
Depends on
- Cauchy-Schwarz for random variables
- Markov's inequality for random variables
- The Axiom of Countable Choice ($\mathrm{AC}_\omega$)
- Logarithmic negative Sobolev spaces for white noise
- Finite-coordinate posterior total-variation limit
- The product-prior posterior factors by coordinates
- A negative-Sobolev posterior second-moment bound
- The wavelet product prior is L2-valued
- White noise is a Borel Gaussian law on the negative Sobolev space
Used by
- Continuous images of the scaled posterior converge weakly Corollary
- The scaled posterior converges weakly on the negative Sobolev space Corollary
- A Gaussian wavelet product prior covered by the weak BvM theorem Example
- The integral functional under a product-prior white-noise BvM Example
- Linear-functional BvM limit and credible-interval calibration Theorem
- Nonlinear-functional BvM limit under fast L2 contraction Theorem
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Sources
- Castillo and Nickl, Nonparametric Bernstein–von Mises theorems in Gaussian white noise, Theorems 5, 7–9 and proofs, printed pp. 2013–2021 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Giné and Nickl, Mathematical Foundations of Infinite-Dimensional Statistical Models, Theorems 7.3.12, 7.3.18–7.3.19 and proofs, printed pp. 584–596 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Ray, Adaptive Bernstein–von Mises theorems in Gaussian white noise, §§2.1–2.2 and §7.1, printed pp. 5–8 and 23–24 (standard reference, not scraped)