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Invariant Gaussian law and uniqueness for a stable autoregression

Statement

Assume AC. Let A∈Rd×d and G∈Rd×m, with finite d,m≥1. Suppose there are C<∞ and 0<θ<1 such that ∥An∥≤Cθn for every integer n≥0. A probability law ν is invariant for this recursion if, whenever Z0∼ν is independent of a fresh ξ1∼Nm(0,Im), the updated state AZ0+Gξ1 also has law ν. Consider the Markov chain Zn+1=AZn+Gξn+1, where each ξn+1∼Nm(0,Im) is independent of the current state and of the earlier innovations. Then the chain has a unique invariant probability law. It is Nd(0,P), where the convergent positive-semidefinite series P=∑j=0∞AjGGT(AT)j satisfies P=APAT+GGT. This is the unique finite matrix solution of that discrete Lyapunov equation.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, matrices A,G with the power bound above, and the stated Gaussian autoregression.

[F1]

Multivariate normal law, including singular covariance and Characteristic function of a multivariate normal law: for every positive-semidefinite covariance P, Nd(0,P) exists and has characteristic function u↦e−uTPu/2, including singular P.

[F2]

Characteristic functions under affine maps and independent sums: affine images transform characteristic functions by the corresponding linear map, and the characteristic functions of finite sums of independent vectors multiply coordinatewise through their scalar projections.

[F3]

Independent random elements and For sigma-finite factors, the product measure exists, has the rectangle formula, is sigma-finite, and is unique: finite product probability spaces exist and their coordinate random elements are independent.

[F4]

Characteristic function of a multivariate normal law: any Borel probability law with characteristic function u↦e−uTPu/2 equals Nd(0,P), including singular P.

[F5]

Dominated convergence: pointwise convergence dominated by one integrable function permits passage to the limit in the integral.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC is inherited through [F1]–[F5]; no choice is used in the convergent series or finite-dimensional characteristic-function iteration.

Proof

Given: The assumptions above.

1.1givenalgebra

The power bound gives ∥AjGGT(AT)j∥≤C2θ2j∥G∥2. The geometric series therefore converges entrywise and in matrix norm. Each summand is symmetric positive semidefinite because xTAjGGT(AT)jx=∣GT(AT)jx∣2≥0, so P is symmetric positive semidefinite. Shifting the summation index gives APAT+GGT=P.

2.1A1F1F2F3F4step 1.1givenalgebra

Let Z∼Nd(0,P) and ξ∼Nm(0,Im) be independent; [F3] supplies their finite product probability space. By [F1]–[F2], AZ+Gξ has characteristic function u↦exp⁡[−12uT(APAT+GGT)u]=exp⁡[−12uTPu]. The covariance identity in step 1.1 and [F4] show that AZ+Gξ has the same law as Z. Thus Nd(0,P) is invariant.

3.1A1F1F2F3F4F5givenstep 1.1step 2.1algebra∎

Let ν be any invariant probability law and let φ(u)=∫eiu⋅x ν(dx). Invariance and independence of a fresh innovation imply [A1, F1, F2, F3, F4, F5, given, step 1.1, step 2.1, algebra] φ(u)=φ(ATu)exp⁡ ⁣(−12uTGGTu). Iterating n times gives φ(u)=φ((AT)nu)exp⁡ ⁣(−12uT[∑j=0n−1AjGGT(AT)j]u). The power bound gives (AT)nu→0, so the dominated convergence theorem [F5] in the integral defining φ gives φ((AT)nu)→1. Step 1.1 makes the matrix sum converge to P, whence φ(u)=e−uTPu/2, the characteristic function of the invariant Gaussian from step 2.1. By [F4], ν=Nd(0,P). If P′ is another finite matrix solution of the Lyapunov equation, D=P′−P satisfies D=ADAT, hence D=AnD(AT)n→0 by the power bound; therefore P′=P. This proves uniqueness of the invariant law and covariance solution.

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