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Importance weighting under covariate shift

Statement

Assume AC. Let PS,PT be source and target joint laws under covariate shift, with input marginals μS,μT and common conditional label kernel K. Let w be a nonnegative measurable representative of dμT/dμS. For any measurable predictor h and nonnegative product-measurable loss ℓ, if the weighted source loss is integrable, then RT(h)=∫X×Yℓ(h(x),y) PT(d(x,y))=∫X×Yw(x)ℓ(h(x),y) PS(d(x,y))<+∞.

Statement references

Sugiyama, §3.1, book pp. 930–931: the importance-weighting identity for a shared conditional label law.

Mansour, Mohri, and Rostamizadeh, §2, arXiv version 3, pp. 2–3: domain risks and arbitrary measurable loss notation.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; source and target joint laws under covariate shift; a measurable predictor h; a nonnegative product-measurable loss ℓ; and ∫w(x)ℓ(h(x),y) PS(d(x,y))<+∞.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: AC is assumed for the Radon-Nikodym representatives used by the likelihood-density and change-of-measure suppliers.

[F1]

Source and target joint laws, risks, and covariate shift: under covariate shift, μT≪μS and the source and target conditional label kernels agree μT-almost everywhere.

[F2]

Likelihood densities: in the two-law experiment dominated by μS, AC supplies a nonnegative measurable representative w of dμT/dμS.

[F3]

Covariate shift gives a joint-law density: PT≪PS, with nonnegative likelihood-ratio representative r(x,y)=w(x) on the joint space.

[F4]

Population and empirical risks are measurable: in a supervised prediction problem, a measurable predictor in the predictor class induces a product-measurable loss function.

[F5]

Likelihood-ratio change of measure: under AC and absolute continuity, ∫g dPT=∫gr dPS for every nonnegative measurable g.

Proof

1.1F4given

Set gh(x,y):=ℓ(h(x),y). For each D∈{S,T}, the given measurable spaces, joint law PD, measurable predictor h, and product-measurable loss ℓ form a supervised prediction problem with predictor class {h}. Since h∈{h}, the hypotheses of [F4] hold and gh is product-measurable. It is nonnegative, so both integrals in the claim are defined as extended nonnegative integrals.

2.1A1F1F2F3F5givenalgebra∎

By [F1] and [F2], the covariate-shift hypotheses hold and w is an available input-marginal density. The joint-law lemma [F3] identifies the joint density as r(x,y)=w(x). Apply [F5] to gh to obtain ∫gh dPT=∫ghr dPS=∫w(x)ℓ(h(x),y) dPS. The assumed integrability makes this common value finite, proving the stated identity.

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