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Disintegration of a joint law on standard borel spaces
Statement
Assume AC. Let be a probability on , where E and T are standard-Borel spaces, and let be its second marginal. There is a probability kernel such that
It is unique as a kernel outside a single measurable -null set. For every nonnegative product-measurable ,
In particular this applies to the joint law of random elements , with ; the direction is the law of X given Y.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The hypotheses and conventions in the statement.
Under AC the first coordinate has an everywhere RCD given the second-coordinate sigma-algebra; the same repaired construction supplies a countable determining algebra on E. Existence of regular conditional distributions for standard borel targets.
Such a kernel factors through Y under AC. Regular conditional kernels factor through a standard borel conditioning variable.
Two RCDs of the same standard-Borel variable agree as measures almost surely. Simultaneous ae uniqueness of regular conditional distributions.
The repaired local integral interface supplies nonnegative additivity, monotone convergence, and bounded decreasing convergence. Simultaneous rational conditional distribution function versions.
A lambda-system containing rectangles contains the product sigma-algebra. Dynkin's pi-lambda theorem.
Prescribed nonnegative simple approximants increase pointwise to every nonnegative measurable test. Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions.
Pointwise limits of measurable functions are measurable. Sequential suprema, infima, limsup, liminf, and pointwise limits of measurable functions are measurable.
AC supplies RCD existence, bin-lift factorization and the countable determining algebra. The Axiom of Choice.
Proof
On use the coordinate maps X and Y. Both targets are nonempty because the product carries a probability. By [F1], X has an RCD L given ; by [F2] it factors as for a probability kernel K. The RCD identity gives . We prove the needed marginal substitution locally. For , Finite additivity from [F4] gives this for nonnegative simple g; apply [F6] and the local monotone convergence [F4] to get it for every nonnegative measurable g. Taking yields the rectangle formula.
We also prove kernel-integral measurability locally. Let be the product-measurable sets C for which every section belongs to and is measurable. It contains rectangles: each section is A or empty and its evaluation is . It contains the whole product. Under complements, is measurable and its evaluation is . Under pairwise disjoint countable unions, the sections are measurable disjoint unions, while sectionwise countable additivity gives the evaluation as a pointwise limit of measurable partial sums, measurable by [F7]. Thus [F5] gives both properties for every product event. Let be the product events satisfying the iterated indicator identity. It contains rectangles by step 1.1 and the whole product by normalization. Complements subtract from the finite total one. For disjoint , sectionwise countable additivity and monotone convergence from [F4], first under and then under , prove the union identity. Hence [F5] gives every product event.
Finite nonnegative combinations of step 2.1 give both measurability and the iterated formula for nonnegative simple f. For arbitrary nonnegative f, use the prescribed of [F6]. Apply the locally proved monotone convergence [F4] under , in every probability section K, and then under . By [F7] the inner limit is measurable. These passages give the displayed formula, including value infinity, with no subtraction.
If K and J both satisfy the rectangle formula, their compositions with Y are RCDs of X given : the collection is already a sigma-algebra. By [F3], they agree as measures outside one -null set. Fix the countable determining algebra supplied by [F1] and set . This set is measurable. Its preimage under Y lies in the exceptional set from [F3], so . Off D the probabilities agree on , hence on every event by its locally proved determining property. If the joint law comes from actual X,Y, the rectangle calculation gives the same conditional-law assertion.
Depends on
- Existence of regular conditional distributions for standard borel targets
- Regular conditional kernels factor through a standard borel conditioning variable
- Simultaneous ae uniqueness of regular conditional distributions
- Simultaneous rational conditional distribution function versions
- Dynkin's pi-lambda theorem
- Every nonnegative measurable function is the increasing limit of simple measurable functions
- Sequential suprema, infima, limsup, liminf, and pointwise limits of measurable functions are measurable
- The Axiom of Choice
Used by
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Sources
- Durrett, Probability: Theory and Examples, fifth edition (standard reference, not scraped)
- Varadhan, Probability Theory, Chapter 4 (standard reference, not scraped)