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Exp4 expected regret against the best fixed expert

Statement

Let n≥1, k>1, and M>1 be integers. For each t∈[n], let xt∈[0,1]k and let E(t) be an M×k matrix with nonnegative entries whose every row sums to one. Assume the reward vectors and advice matrices are deterministic and fixed before learner randomization, each advice matrix is revealed before its action, and the learner observes only the reward of its sampled action. Run Exp4 with

η=2log⁡Mnk,

where log⁡ is the natural logarithm and the square root is the nonnegative real root. Define expected regret against the best fixed expert by

Rn=E[max⁡m∈[M]∑t=1n∑i=1kE(t)m,ixt,i−∑t=1nXt],[M]={1,…,M}.

Then

Rn≤2nklog⁡M.

Statement references

Oblivious contextual bandit protocol and expected regret: the fixed reward/advice scope, action feedback, and reward-regret convention are defined there.

Exp4 algorithm: the action mixture, importance-weighted estimates, and expert update used in the theorem are defined there.

Conditional unbiasedness of expert reward estimates: supported action estimates recover each fixed expert's expected reward, including the zero-support boundary.

Weighted estimated-loss second moment: the expected quadratic term in the potential bound is at most k per round.

Exp4 potential inequality: every fixed expert's estimated-reward advantage is bounded by the log-prior term and estimated-loss second moments.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The finite oblivious contextual bandit instance, Exp4 with the stated learning rate, and expected regret against its best fixed expert.

[A1]

The reward vectors xt and advice matrices E(t) are fixed before learner randomization, as stated in the Statement; hence a best expert can be chosen deterministically.

[F1]

Contextual bandit protocol with finite expert advice: advice rows are probability vectors, the instance is oblivious, the learner observes Xt=xt,At, and Rn is the expectation of the best-fixed-expert reward minus the learner's cumulative reward.

[F2]

Exp4 with unbiased estimated rewards: Pt,i=∑mQt,mE(t)m,i, Qt is determined before the current draw, and all estimates are finite under the zero-quotient convention.

[F3]

Exp4 expert reward estimates are conditionally unbiased: E[X~t,m∣Ft−1]=∑iE(t)m,ixt,i for every expert, including zero-probability actions.

[F4]

Exp4 weighted estimated loss has conditional second moment at most k: E[∑mQt,mL~t,m2∣Ft−1]≤k.

[F5]

Exp4 exponential-weights potential inequality: for every fixed m∗, the pathwise estimated-reward gap is at most log⁡(M)/η+(η/2)∑t,mQt,mL~t,m2.

[F6]

Static, dynamic, interval, and strongly adaptive regret: expected regret is the expectation of the specified measurable, integrable regret random variable.

[F7]

Conditional expectation given a sigma algebra: a conditional expectation is characterized by its integrals on events in the pre-action sigma-algebra.

[F8]

Expectation of a nonnegative or integrable random variable: expectation of an integrable random variable is its Lebesgue integral.

[F9]

Linearity, monotonicity, and the modulus bound for expectation: finite sums of integrable random variables have the corresponding sum of expectations.

[F10]

Order, continuity, range, and the product, quotient, and reciprocal laws for the natural logarithm: log⁡ is strictly increasing, log⁡1=0, and log⁡(ab)=log⁡a+log⁡b for positive a,b.

[F11]

Nonnegative real square roots exist uniquely: each nonnegative real number has a unique nonnegative square root.

Proof

1.1A1F1F2F3F6F7F8F9algebrachoose

Since [M] is finite and the advice and rewards are fixed, choose a maximizing expert m∗; it is nonrandom. At any positive-probability pre-action history, [F2] makes Qt and Pt fixed. By [F3], the conditional mean of the comparator estimate is its true expert reward. Finite summation and Pt,i=∑mQt,mE(t)m,i give E[∑mQt,mX~t,m∣Ft−1]=∑mQt,m∑iE(t)m,ixt,i=∑iPt,ixt,i=E[Xt∣Ft−1]. All histories and estimates are finite, so summing these conditional identities over histories and rounds gives Rn=E[∑tX~t,m∗−∑t,mQt,mX~t,m]. This uses finite conditional sums, not a general tower-property theorem.

2.1F4F5F7F8F9step 1.1algebra

Apply [F5] pathwise to m∗. Taking expectations, using [F9], and summing the conditional bound [F4] over the finite pre-action histories gives Rn≤log⁡M/η+(η/2)∑t=1nE[∑mQt,mL~t,m2]≤log⁡M/η+ηnk/2.

3.1F10F11step 2.1algebra∎

Since M>1, [F10] gives log⁡M>0. Thus 2log⁡M/(nk)>0, and [F11] supplies the positive learning rate in the Statement. Substituting it into step 2.1 makes both terms equal to nklog⁡M/2, whose sum is 2nklog⁡M.

Depends on

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