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Exact finite-group permutation p-values and tests

Statement

Let E,Θ0,G,T be as in Measurable finite-group permutation setups, and suppose every null law Pθ, θ∈Θ0, is invariant under the action. Let porb and ptie be as in Full-orbit and tie-randomized permutation p-values. Then, for every u∈[0,1] and every θ∈Θ0, Pθ(porb(X)≤u)≤u,Pθ(ptie(X,U)≤u)=u, where U is independent uniform on [0,1]. Thus porb is a valid p-value; its cutoff has null rejection probability at most α, and hence size at most α when a nonempty disjoint alternative is specified. The tie-randomized cutoff is a randomized test with rejection probability exactly α under each null law. These level and size statements use Test size and power.

On finite sample spaces, the first two distributional claims specialize to Finite-group orbit-rank validity and use the same multiplicity convention as Orbit upper-tail rank p-values. The proof below supplies the measurable-space extension rather than importing it from that finite-space supplier.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A statistical experiment, nonempty null set Θ0, finite group G acting measurably on its data space, measurable score T, invariance of every null law, and, for the tied assertion, an independent U∼Unif⁡[0,1]. Prove the two distributional claims and the test conclusions.

[F1]

Measurable finite-group permutation setups: each g acts measurably on the statistical-experiment data space; T is measurable; null invariance means g⋅X=dX for every null parameter and every g∈G.

[F2]

Full-orbit and tie-randomized permutation p-values: porb counts all g with T(g⋅x)≥T(x) over denominator ∣G∣; ptie replaces the equality block by its fraction U.

[F3]

Tied upper ranks on a finite multiset: for any nonempty finite list of real scores, the inclusive upper rank of a uniform index is superuniform, and filling its tie block with an independent uniform variable gives an exact uniform value.

[F4]

Independent random elements: independent random elements have independent generated event sigma-algebras; in particular the auxiliary uniform U is independent of the data and the finite uniform group index.

[F5]

The uniform probability space on a nonempty finite set: the auxiliary index H is uniform on the nonempty finite set G, assigning probability 1/∣G∣ to each group element.

[F6]

Valid p-values: validity for a nonempty null means Pθ(p(X)≤u)≤u for every null parameter and every u∈[0,1].

[F7]

Valid p-values yield level tests for nonempty disjoint alternatives: a valid p-value threshold 1{p≤α} is a level-α test when a nonempty disjoint alternative is supplied.

[F8]

Randomized procedures as probability kernels, Randomized tests, and Every measurable rejection function defines a randomized test: a measurable function ϕ:X→[0,1] defines a binary randomized-test kernel with rejection probability ϕ(x).

[F9]

Test size and power: test size is the supremum of null rejection probabilities over the nonempty null set.

Proof

technique · randomize the observed index over the finite group, then apply the finite tied-rank lemma to the score list
1.1F1F2givenalgebra

For each g∈G, x↦T(g⋅x) is measurable by [F1]. For measurable real functions f,h, {f>h}=⋃q∈Q{f>q}∩{h<q}, so strict comparisons are measurable; equality sets are complements of the union of the two opposite strict comparisons. Finite sums show that both rank counts are measurable. The identity belongs to G, so the tied count is at least one and both p-value formulas take values in [0,1]. For the joint tie-rank formula, partition the data space by the finitely many possible integer pairs (N>,N=); on each part it is an affine function of U, so it is jointly measurable.

1.2F1F4F5given

Fix θ∈Θ0 and let H be uniform on G, independent of (X,U). For each fixed h∈G, invariance gives h⋅X=dX. Averaging over the finite law of H therefore gives (H⋅X,U)=d(X,U), so replacing X by H⋅X does not change either p-value distribution.

2.1F2F3F4F5step 1.2algebra

Fix x and form the finite list ag=T(g⋅x) indexed by g∈G, retaining repeated values and repeated orbit points. At H=h, the transformed list at h⋅x is T((gh)⋅x) as g ranges over G. Right multiplication g↦gh is a bijection of G, and the observed value T(h⋅x) is the entry indexed by h. Thus porb(h⋅x) is the inclusive upper rank of a uniform index in (ag)g∈G, while ptie(h⋅x,U) is its independently tie-randomized rank.

3.1F1F3F5step 1.2step 2.1

By [F3], conditional on each fixed x, the first rank in step 2.1 is superuniform and the second is uniform. Averaging over X preserves these bounds. The distributional equality in step 1.2 transfers them from H⋅X back to X, proving both displayed claims for this θ. Since θ was arbitrary in Θ0, the claims hold under every null law. No orbit quotient or freeness assumption is used.

4.1F2F3F6F7F8F9step 1.1step 3.1algebra∎

By [F6], porb is a valid p-value; [F7] gives its level-α cutoff test when an alternative is specified. For the tied test put N>(x)=#{g:T(g⋅x)>T(x)} and N=(x)=#{g:T(g⋅x)=T(x)}. Its conditional rejection probability is ϕα(x)=min⁡{1,max⁡{0,(∣G∣α−N>(x))/N=(x)}}, because ptie(x,U)≤α exactly when U≤(∣G∣α−N>(x))/N=(x), with the threshold clipped to [0,1]. The counts are measurable by step 1.1 and N=(x)≥1, so [F8] makes ϕα a randomized test. Its null rejection probability equals Pθ(ptie(X,U)≤α)=α by step 3.1, and [F9] identifies its size as α when a nonempty disjoint alternative is specified. The argument uses only a finite uniform group index and the stated uniform tie randomizer; it uses no choice axiom.

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