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Gaussian sparse-sequence minimax lower bound

Statement

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let n,d≥1, σ>0, and let 1≤s≤d/2 be integers. Observe Z∈Rd with independent coordinates Zj∼N(θj,σ2/n) for a parameter Θs,d:={θ∈Rd:∣{j∈{1,…,d}:θj≠0}∣≤s}. For every Borel estimator T:Rd→Rd, sup⁡θ∈Θs,dEθ∥T(Z)−θ∥22≥σ2slog⁡(ed/s)200000n.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, integers n,d≥1, σ>0, 1≤s≤d/2, the independent-coordinate Gaussian sequence experiment, and a Borel estimator T:Rd→Rd.

[A1]

Assume AC, as required by the Fano, KL, and Gaussian-location suppliers (The Axiom of Choice).

[F1]

For 1≤s≤d/2, there is a finite code of binary vectors with exactly s ones, pairwise squared Euclidean distance greater than s/2, and log⁡M≥(s/1024)log⁡(ed/s) (A sparse Hamming packing for every 1≤k≤d/2).

[F2]

For independent coordinates N(θj,σ2/n), the KL divergence between two sequence laws is n∥θ−θ′∥22/(2σ2) (KL divergence between equal-variance Gaussian location laws, Additivity of KL divergence for finite product laws).

[F3]

For M separated hypotheses and a reference law Q, every randomized estimator has uniform average squared-error risk at least Δ24(1−M−1∑jD(Pj∥Q)+log⁡2log⁡M) (Fano’s packing bound with a reference-distribution KL bound).

[F4]

Under the event-supremum convention, ∥P−Q∥TV≤D(P∥Q)/2 (Pinsker’s inequality with event-supremum total variation).

[F5]

For scalar targets separated by b>0, every randomized scalar estimator has maximum squared-error risk at least b28(1−∥P0−P1∥TV) (Two-point Le Cam lower bound for squared-error risk).

[F6]

Risk is the expected nonnegative loss under the sampling and action laws (Loss functions and risk).

[F7]

A Borel estimator induces a measurable point-mass probability kernel (Randomized procedures as probability kernels, A statistic induces a deterministic probability kernel).

[F9]

e=exp⁡(1)>2, since the defining series for e has initial terms 1+1+1/2 and positive remaining terms; exp⁡ is strictly increasing (The real exponential function and the number e by a power series, The exponential function is strictly increasing).

Proof

1.1F1F8F9givenalgebra

Choose the code C from [F1], with cardinality M. Since ed/s≥2e>1 by [F9], [F8] gives log⁡(ed/s)>0; hence M≥2. Put a:=σ2log⁡M4ns>0,θω=auω(ω∈C). Every θω belongs to Θs,d, and distinct code targets have squared distance greater than a2s/2.

1.2A1F1F2F4F5F7F8givenalgebra

Now suppose M=2. By [F8], log⁡2=∫12dt/t≤1, because 1/t≤1 on [1,2]. Hence [F1] gives slog⁡(ed/s)≤1024. Consider the two parameters 0 and be1, where b=σ/(2n); both belong to Θs,d. By [F2], their sequence laws have KL divergence nb2/(2σ2)=1/8, so [F4] gives total variation at most 1/4. For the Borel vector estimator T, its first coordinate T1 is Borel, and [F7] makes it an admissible scalar kernel. Pointwise, ∥T(z)−θ∥22≥∣T1(z)−θ1∣2 for both parameters. Applying [F5] to this scalar kernel shows the maximum vector risk is at least b28(1−14)=3σ2128n>1024σ2200000n≥σ2slog⁡(ed/s)200000n.

2.1A1F1F2step 1.1algebra

Take the reference law Q=P0 of the zero-mean sequence. By [F2], D(Pθω∥P0)=n2σ2∥auω∥22=na2s2σ2=log⁡M8 for every ω, since uω has exactly s ones.

3.1A1F3F7F8step 1.1step 2.1algebra

First suppose M≥3. Since 3>22 (squaring gives 9>8), [F8] implies log⁡3>log⁡(22)=32log⁡2. Thus log⁡2/log⁡M<2/3. The average reference KL ratio in [F3] is 1/8 by step 2.1, so the Fano factor is greater than 1−1/8−2/3=5/24>1/5. With separation Δ=as/2, [F3] gives uniform average risk greater than Δ220=a2s40=σ2log⁡M160n≥σ2slog⁡(ed/s)163840n>σ2slog⁡(ed/s)200000n. The maximum risk dominates this finite-code average; the Borel estimator is an admissible kernel by [F7]. Thus its supremum risk satisfies the same lower bound.

4.1F6step 1.1step 1.2step 3.1∎

The cases M≥3 and M=2 exhaust the possibilities by step 1.1. Step 3.1 proves the M≥3 case, and step 1.2 proves the M=2 case. Thus the claimed lower bound holds for the arbitrary Borel estimator T, with risk understood as in [F6].

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