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TheoremStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-adaptedPipeline-generatedjudge pass (gpt-6-luna)
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Kernel ridge regression equals the Gaussian-process posterior mean

Statement

Assume AC. Let T be a set, let k:T×T→R be a symmetric kernel whose every finite Gram quadratic form is nonnegative, and let m:T→R. Let H be a real Hilbert space of functions on T such that, for every x∈T, the section kx:T→R, kx(t)=k(t,x), belongs to H and satisfies h(x)=⟨h,kx⟩H for every h∈H. Assume m∈H. For a nonempty finite ordered list X=(xi)i=1n (repetitions allowed), let K=KXX=(k(xi,xj)), mX=(m(xi)), and take y∈Rn and σ>0. On the affine space m+H, define J(g)=∑i=1n(yi−g(xi))2+σ2∥g−m∥H2. Then J has a unique minimizer g∗=m+∑i=1nαikxi,α=(K+σ2In)−1(y−mX). Its evaluation vector is (g∗(xi))i=1n=mX+K(K+σ2In)−1(y−mX). Under AC, the mean and kernel determine a canonical cylinder-space Gaussian-process prior. If it is observed at X with independent Nn(0,σ2In) noise, this vector is the conditional mean of the latent evaluation vector given the observation Y=y. The Hilbert-space existence and reproducing-section properties are hypotheses here; the theorem makes no general kernel-to-Hilbert-space existence claim.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC; the kernel, real Hilbert space, reproducing-section identities, mean function m∈H, finite list X, response y, and scalar σ>0 in the Statement; and the Gaussian-process observation model for the final comparison.

[A1]

AC is the axiom used by the Gaussian-process and finite conditional-normal interfaces. The Axiom of Choice

[F1]

The observation model defines KXX, mX, and Y=fX+ε; an independent Gaussian noise vector with covariance R is added to the latent evaluations. Finite Gaussian-process regression observation model

[F2]

Every finite-dimensional subspace of a real inner-product space has an orthonormal basis, and projection onto it gives a unique orthogonal decomposition with the Pythagorean identity. Projection onto a finite-dimensional subspace of an inner-product space

[F3]

A finite-dimensional positive-semidefinite operator has a positive-semidefinite square root whose square is the operator. A non-negative operator has a unique non-negative square root

[F5]

Under AC, the finite Gaussian-process posterior at test list X∗ has mean m∗+K∗X(KXX+R)−1(y−mX) when the observed covariance is positive definite. Finite Gaussian-process regression posterior and predictive law

[F6]

In the finite observation model, KXX+R is positive definite exactly when its ordinary inverse formulas are defined. Positive definiteness is exactly the inverse condition for the observed GP covariance

Proof

Given: The hypotheses in the Statement.

1.1F1givenconstructalgebra

Define the linear evaluation map S:H→Rn by (Sh)i=h(xi). It is bounded because ∥Sh∥22=∑i∣⟨h,kxi⟩H∣2≤∥h∥H2∑i∥kxi∥H2. The reproducing identities then give its adjoint S∗β=∑iβikxi, since ⟨Sh,β⟩=∑iβi⟨h,kxi⟩H=⟨h,S∗β⟩H. Consequently SS∗=K and V=ran⁡(S∗)=span⁡{kxi:1≤i≤n}.

1.2F1F6givenalgebra

For every c∈Rn, cT(K+σ2In)c=cTKc+σ2∥c∥2≥σ2∥c∥2, because K is a Gram matrix of the positive-semidefinite kernel. Hence A=K+σ2In is positive definite and, by [F6], its ordinary inverse exists. Put r=y−mX, α=A−1r, and h0=S∗α.

2.1F2step 1.1givenalgebra

Write g=m+h, so J(m+h)=∥r−Sh∥2+σ2∥h∥H2. By [F2], each h decomposes uniquely as p+q with p∈V and q⊥V. Then Sq=0 by the reproducing identities, and ∥p+q∥H2=∥p∥H2+∥q∥H2. Thus J(m+p+q)=J(m+p)+σ2∥q∥H2, so minimization reduces to V.

2.2F3F4step 1.1step 1.2algebra

Let B=K1/2 be supplied by [F3], and define C:Rn→Rn⊕Rn by Cβ=(Kβ,σBβ). For h=S∗β, its objective is ∥Cβ−(r,0)∥2, because Sh=Kβ and ∥S∗β∥H2=βTKβ=∥Bβ∥2. The normal equation is C∗Cβ=C∗(r,0), that is (K2+σ2K)β=Kr. Our α satisfies it because (K2+σ2K)α=K(K+σ2In)α=Kr. Therefore [F4] makes h0 a minimizer on V.

2.3step 1.1step 1.2algebra

For any d∈H, Sh0−r=Kα−r=−σ2α and S∗(Sh0−r)=−σ2h0. Expanding both squared norms and using the adjoint identity gives J(m+h0+d)−J(m+h0)=∥Sd∥2+σ2∥d∥H2. This is nonnegative and is zero only for d=0, so the minimizer is unique on all of H, not just on V.

3.1A1F1F5step 1.2step 2.2∎

The minimizing function is g∗=m+h0=m+∑iαikxi, and Sh0=Kα, giving the displayed evaluation vector. For Gaussian observations with R=σ2In, [F5] at test list X∗=X gives the same conditional-mean vector; A=K+R≻0 by step 1.2, so its inverse hypothesis holds.

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