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Exact power and least sample size for a known-variance normal z-test
Statement
Assume AC. Let be mutually independent with common law , where , , and . Fix , , and , and put . Observe in the one-dimensional experiment with law . For the upper-tail test of against with rejection rule the test size is , and its power at any is The least positive integer sample size attaining target power at , with candidate sizes , is If , every positive integer size meets the target and the least is . This is an exact result for the specified known- normal model; it makes no approximation or claim for an unknown- -test or another sampling law.
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC; the independent normal sample and parameters in the Statement; the one-dimensional sample-mean experiment; and the definitions of test size and power.
Assume AC, as required by the Gaussian-law convention. It also supplies countable choice: apply AC to the family of values of any sequence of nonempty sets and compose the resulting choice function with that sequence. This discharges the countable-choice premise in [F5]. The Axiom of Choice The Axiom of Countable Choice () The Axiom of Choice implies countable choice
The sample mean has law , and its standardized value has law . The mean of a finite independent normal sample is normal
is continuous and strictly increasing, has no atoms, satisfies , and has unique quantiles with . Standard-normal CDF, tail, and quantile identities for power calculations
A statistical experiment specifies a data measurable space, a parameter set, and a probability law for each parameter; here the observation is with law . Statistical experiments
A randomized test has a measurable rejection-probability function ; in this deterministic case it is the indicator of the rejection region. Randomized tests
The affine statistic is continuous, its threshold set is Borel, and a measurable rejection function defines a randomized test. Sums, scalar multiples, products, absolute values, maxima, minima and quotients with nonvanishing denominator of continuous functions are continuous, as are constants, the identity and every polynomial function Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable A measurable function between measurable spaces Every measurable rejection function defines a randomized test
Power is the rejection probability at each parameter and size is the supremum of power over the nonempty null set. Test size and power
The planning rule returns the least feasible positive integer size when the feasible set is nonempty. Power and sample-size planning specifications A nonempty set of positive integers has a least member
Define ; it is the least integer greater than or equal to . Ceilings give the least positive integer meeting a real threshold
Proof
By [A1], countable choice is available for the Borel-measurability supplier in [F5]. The affine statistic is continuous, so the strict upper-level rejection set is Borel and its indicator is measurable. [F5] therefore makes a randomized-test function in the sample-mean experiment described by [F3]; [F1] gives its statistic the stated shifted normal law.
Write . Under parameter , the rejection probability is by the symmetry in [F2]. This is the stated power function.
On , . Since is strictly increasing, the power in step 2.1 is increasing in , so its supremum over occurs at . There it equals by [F2]; hence the test size is .
At , target power is attained exactly when . Strict increase of makes this equivalent to , where . If , the left side is positive for every , so all positive sizes qualify. If , the condition is .
For , the least positive size is , which agrees with the displayed formula. For , [F8] makes the least integer at least its ceiling, already positive. The cases in step 3.2 make the target-feasible set nonempty; step 3.1 shows that every candidate size satisfies the size constraint . Thus the target-feasible sizes are exactly the plans meeting the test request, and [F7] identifies their least size with the planning rule's output. The unified expression is the stated .
Depends on
- Power and sample-size planning specifications
- A nonempty set of positive integers has a least member
- Standard-normal CDF, tail, and quantile identities for power calculations
- The mean of a finite independent normal sample is normal
- Statistical experiments
- Randomized tests
- Test size and power
- A measurable function between measurable spaces
- Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable
- Sums, scalar multiples, products, absolute values, maxima, minima and quotients with nonvanishing denominator of continuous functions are continuous, as are constants, the identity and every polynomial function
- Every measurable rejection function defines a randomized test
- The Axiom of Choice
- The Axiom of Countable Choice ($\mathrm{AC}_\omega$)
- The Axiom of Choice implies countable choice
- The natural numbers $\mathbb{N}$ (von Neumann)
- Ceilings give the least positive integer meeting a real threshold
Used by
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Sources
- Gary W. Oehlert, A First Course in Design and Analysis of Experiments, Chapter 7, §§7.1–7.4, printed pp. 149–159 (standard reference, not scraped)
- NIST/SEMATECH e-Handbook of Statistical Methods, §7.2.2.2, PDF pp. 2019–2021 (standard reference, not scraped)