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PropositionStatement: AI-adaptedProof: AI-generatedPipeline-generatedprecheck pendingverified 2026-10-23 (gpt-6.1-sol)
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Bounded profile functional conditional CLT

Statement

Let (Ω,F,P) be the common probability space for the innovations and their independent replacement family (take a countable independent product extension if needed), and write E for expectation under P.

Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let H=L2([0,1],B,λ;R), where B is generated by intervals with rational endpoints and λ is Lebesgue measure restricted to B. Let (S,S,ν) be a probability space, let (δt)t∈Z be independent identically distributed measurable S-valued random elements with law ν, and let f:SN0→H be measurable from the product sigma-algebra S⊗N0 to the Borel sigma-algebra of H. Set Xt=f(δt,δt−1,…) and assume its Bochner expectation is zero and E∥X0∥H2<∞. For each t∈Z, m≥1, and k≤t−m, let δt,m,k′ have law ν, with these copies mutually independent and independent of the original innovations, and set Xt,m=f(δt,…,δt−m+1,δt,m,t−m′,δt,m,t−m−1′,…). Assume ∑m=1∞δm<∞, where δm=(E∥X0−X0,m∥H2)1/2. For each n≥1, let the integer block length bn satisfy bn→∞ and bn/n→0; for all sufficiently large n, apply moving-block resampling with block length bn to X1,…,Xn, truncating the last block to exactly n elements. Write Xˉn∗=n−1∑j=1nXj∗, and let E∗ denote expectation over these draws with the observations fixed. For a finite-support H-valued resampling random element Z, define its conditional covariance operator by

Cov⁡∗(Z):=E∗[(Z−E∗Z)⊗(Z−E∗Z)]∈B(H),(u⊗v)h:=⟨h,v⟩Hu(h,u,v∈H).

For a finite-support real-valued resampling random variable V, define Var⁡∗(V):=E∗[(V−E∗V)2]. Each convergence-in-probability assertion below is with respect to P.

Write L∗(Z) for the law of Z under the same conditional resampling distribution. Let G be the centered H-valued Gaussian limit with covariance operator Γ supplied by the Hilbert-valued sample-mean CLT for this process. For any bounded real-linear L:H→R, set ∥L∥=sup⁡∥u∥H≤1∣L(u)∣, let hL∈H be the unique vector satisfying L(u)=⟨u,hL⟩H for every u∈H, and define L∗r=rhL. Identify the scalar operator LΓL∗:R→R with its value at 1. Then L∗ ⁣(n L(Xˉn∗−E∗Xˉn∗))⇒L(LG)in probability, and, with Cn=nCov⁡∗(Xˉn∗), ∣Var⁡∗ ⁣(n L(Xˉn∗−E∗Xˉn∗))−LΓL∗∣≤∥L∥2∥Cn−Γ∥HS⟶0in probability. Here LΓL∗ is the variance of the limiting scalar Gaussian. This conclusion concerns bounded linear profile observations under the stated Bernoulli-shift and block-length hypotheses; it makes no claim for nonlinear statistics or for finite-replicate quantile accuracy.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: The statement assumptions, including the Axiom of Choice and the exact block-length regime.

[A1]

The Axiom of Choice: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function; it is the stated assumption of the moving-block theorem below.

[F1]

Profile-to-Hilbert bootstrap interface: H=L2([0,1],B,λ;R) is the real Hilbert space of almost-everywhere classes; the measurable causal process has Bochner mean EBX0:=∫ΩX0 dP=0 and finite second moment; its replacement family lies on an independent product extension whose stated setup assumes Countable Choice and Dependent Choice, with δm=(E∥X0−X0,m∥H2)1/2 and ∑m≥1δm<∞; MBB uses independent uniform overlapping starts, preserves within-block order, truncates to length n, and is centered by its actual conditional expectation.

[F2]

Moving block bootstrap CLT for dependent Hilbert-valued data: under AC, centered causal L2-m-approximable H-valued data and bn→∞, bn/n→0, the conditional law of n(Xˉn∗−E∗Xˉn∗) converges weakly in probability to L(G), and ∥nCov⁡∗(Xˉn∗)−Γ∥HS→0 in probability.

[F3]

Hilbert-valued CLT for L2-m-approximable Bernoulli shifts: the sampling-law limit G is centered Gaussian in H, with covariance Γ; the result is a sample-sum CLT, not a time-indexed functional CLT.

[F4]

Conditional weak convergence in probability: convergence in conditional weak topology in probability means convergence in probability in a metric that metrizes weak convergence. Weak convergence of borel probability measures characterizes weak convergence by bounded continuous test functions.

[F5]

Riesz representation for Hilbert spaces: under Countable Choice, every bounded real-linear functional on a real Hilbert space has a unique representing vector hL, with ∥hL∥H=∥L∥; thus L∗r=rhL and ∥L∗∥=∥L∥.

[F6]

L2-m-approximable causal Bernoulli shifts supplies separability of H under Countable Choice, and A Hilbert space with a dense sequence has a finite or countable orthonormal basis turns a fixed countable dense sequence into a finite or countable orthonormal basis.

[F7]

Hilbert–Schmidt operator and Hilbert–Schmidt norm defines the Hilbert-Schmidt norm relative to a supplied Hilbert basis; The Hilbert–Schmidt norm is basis independent makes its unqualified value independent of that basis; and Hilbert Schmidt operators form a two sided ideal gives ∥ATB∥HS≤∥A∥ ∥T∥HS ∥B∥ for bounded A,B. On R, the Hilbert-Schmidt norm of a scalar operator is its absolute value.

[F8]

AC implies DC implies countable choice: in ZF, the Axiom of Choice implies Dependent Choice and then Countable Choice, with Dependent Choice formulated using a prescribed initial point. Together with [A1], this supplies the Countable Choice and Dependent Choice assumptions in [F1], and the Countable Choice assumptions in [F5] and [F6].

[F9]

Exact conditional covariance of a moving block bootstrap mean uses the conditional covariance operator and rank-one convention stated above and proves the exact finite-sample MBB covariance identity for fixed Hilbert-valued observations.

Proof

Given: The assumptions and supplier facts above.

1.1A1F1F2F4F6F8given

By [A1] and [F8], AC yields Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. By [F1] and [F6], H is separable complete. Put μn∗=L∗(n(Xˉn∗−E∗Xˉn∗)) and μ=L(G), and let dH be the metric on Borel probability laws on H used in [F2] under [F4]. Thus dH metrizes weak convergence and dH(μn∗,μ)→0 in probability. For a continuous map T:E→F between metric spaces and a Borel law η on E, write T#η(B)=η(T−1(B)) for Borel B⊆F. Composing bounded continuous tests with T in [F4] shows that ηj⇒η implies T#ηj⇒T#η.

2.1F1F4step 1.1constructalgebra

To supply the scalar-law metric required by [F4], let e=[ξ↦1]∈H, J:R→H, J(r)=re, and P:H→R, P(u)=⟨u,e⟩H. Here ∥e∥H=1, J is an isometry, and P is continuous: expanding ∥u−P(u)e∥H2≥0 gives ∣P(u)∣≤∥u∥H. Also PJ is the identity. For Borel probability laws α,β on R, define dR(α,β)=dH(J#α,J#β). This is a metric: symmetry and the triangle inequality come from dH, and J#α=J#β implies α=P#J#α=P#J#β=β. By step 1.1 applied to J and P, αj⇒α if and only if J#αj⇒J#α; hence dR metrizes scalar weak convergence.

3.1F1F2F4step 1.1step 2.1algebra

Step 1.1 applied to L shows that L# is sequentially continuous for dH and dR, hence continuous: otherwise a sequence within 1/j of a point would have images outside one fixed positive-radius ball. Thus for every ε>0 there is δ>0 such that dH(η,μ)<δ implies dR(L#η,L#μ)<ε, and P(dR(L#μn∗,L#μ)≥ε)≤P(dH(μn∗,μ)≥δ)→0. The scalar metric distance is measurable: for fixed n the finitely many block-start tuples have fixed weights and atoms continuous in the data (X1,…,Xn)∈Hn; their law is weakly continuous by bounded continuous tests, hence continuous for dR. Conditional expectation is the corresponding finite weighted sum, so it commutes with L. Therefore L#μn∗ is the displayed conditional scalar law and L#μ=L(LG), proving the first conclusion in precisely the sense of [F4].

4.1A1F1F2F3F5F6F7F8F9step 1.1algebra∎

By [A1] and [F8], the assumed AC supplies Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. Then [F5] gives the Riesz representative, while [F1] and [F6] give separability of H and a countable orthonormal basis; use {1} as the basis of R. Put Tn=Cn−Γ and Zn∗=n(Xˉn∗−E∗Xˉn∗). By the covariance definition in the Statement, Cov⁡∗(Zn∗)=Cn, since centering and scaling by n multiplies covariance by n. The Riesz identity and the same conditional covariance convention as [F9] give Var⁡∗(L(Zn∗))=E∗⟨Zn∗,hL⟩H2=⟨CnhL,hL⟩H=(LCnL∗)(1). Apply [F7] to A=L, T=Tn, and B=L∗: ∣LTnL∗(1)∣=∥LTnL∗∥HS≤∥L∥ ∥Tn∥HS ∥L∗∥=∥L∥2∥Tn∥HS. By [F2] this bound tends to zero in probability. The covariance of LG is LΓL∗ by [F3], proving the variance conclusion, including the zero-variance case.

Depends on

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