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Bounded profile functional conditional CLT
Statement
Let be the common probability space for the innovations and their independent replacement family (take a countable independent product extension if needed), and write for expectation under .
Assume the Axiom of Choice. Let , where is generated by intervals with rational endpoints and is Lebesgue measure restricted to . Let be a probability space, let be independent identically distributed measurable -valued random elements with law , and let be measurable from the product sigma-algebra to the Borel sigma-algebra of . Set and assume its Bochner expectation is zero and . For each , , and , let have law , with these copies mutually independent and independent of the original innovations, and set . Assume , where . For each , let the integer block length satisfy and ; for all sufficiently large , apply moving-block resampling with block length to , truncating the last block to exactly elements. Write , and let denote expectation over these draws with the observations fixed. For a finite-support -valued resampling random element , define its conditional covariance operator by
For a finite-support real-valued resampling random variable , define . Each convergence-in-probability assertion below is with respect to .
Write for the law of under the same conditional resampling distribution. Let be the centered -valued Gaussian limit with covariance operator supplied by the Hilbert-valued sample-mean CLT for this process. For any bounded real-linear , set , let be the unique vector satisfying for every , and define . Identify the scalar operator with its value at . Then and, with , Here is the variance of the limiting scalar Gaussian. This conclusion concerns bounded linear profile observations under the stated Bernoulli-shift and block-length hypotheses; it makes no claim for nonlinear statistics or for finite-replicate quantile accuracy.
Statement references
Facts & Assumptions
Given: The statement assumptions, including the Axiom of Choice and the exact block-length regime.
The Axiom of Choice: every family of nonempty sets has a choice function; it is the stated assumption of the moving-block theorem below.
Profile-to-Hilbert bootstrap interface: is the real Hilbert space of almost-everywhere classes; the measurable causal process has Bochner mean and finite second moment; its replacement family lies on an independent product extension whose stated setup assumes Countable Choice and Dependent Choice, with and ; MBB uses independent uniform overlapping starts, preserves within-block order, truncates to length , and is centered by its actual conditional expectation.
Moving block bootstrap CLT for dependent Hilbert-valued data: under AC, centered causal --approximable -valued data and , the conditional law of converges weakly in probability to , and in probability.
Hilbert-valued CLT for L2-m-approximable Bernoulli shifts: the sampling-law limit is centered Gaussian in , with covariance ; the result is a sample-sum CLT, not a time-indexed functional CLT.
Conditional weak convergence in probability: convergence in conditional weak topology in probability means convergence in probability in a metric that metrizes weak convergence. Weak convergence of borel probability measures characterizes weak convergence by bounded continuous test functions.
Riesz representation for Hilbert spaces: under Countable Choice, every bounded real-linear functional on a real Hilbert space has a unique representing vector , with ; thus and .
L2-m-approximable causal Bernoulli shifts supplies separability of under Countable Choice, and A Hilbert space with a dense sequence has a finite or countable orthonormal basis turns a fixed countable dense sequence into a finite or countable orthonormal basis.
Hilbert–Schmidt operator and Hilbert–Schmidt norm defines the Hilbert-Schmidt norm relative to a supplied Hilbert basis; The Hilbert–Schmidt norm is basis independent makes its unqualified value independent of that basis; and Hilbert Schmidt operators form a two sided ideal gives for bounded . On , the Hilbert-Schmidt norm of a scalar operator is its absolute value.
AC implies DC implies countable choice: in ZF, the Axiom of Choice implies Dependent Choice and then Countable Choice, with Dependent Choice formulated using a prescribed initial point. Together with [A1], this supplies the Countable Choice and Dependent Choice assumptions in [F1], and the Countable Choice assumptions in [F5] and [F6].
Exact conditional covariance of a moving block bootstrap mean uses the conditional covariance operator and rank-one convention stated above and proves the exact finite-sample MBB covariance identity for fixed Hilbert-valued observations.
Proof
Given: The assumptions and supplier facts above.
By [A1] and [F8], AC yields Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. By [F1] and [F6], is separable complete. Put and , and let be the metric on Borel probability laws on used in [F2] under [F4]. Thus metrizes weak convergence and in probability. For a continuous map between metric spaces and a Borel law on , write for Borel . Composing bounded continuous tests with in [F4] shows that implies .
To supply the scalar-law metric required by [F4], let , , , and , . Here , is an isometry, and is continuous: expanding gives . Also is the identity. For Borel probability laws on , define . This is a metric: symmetry and the triangle inequality come from , and implies . By step 1.1 applied to and , if and only if ; hence metrizes scalar weak convergence.
Step 1.1 applied to shows that is sequentially continuous for and , hence continuous: otherwise a sequence within of a point would have images outside one fixed positive-radius ball. Thus for every there is such that implies , and . The scalar metric distance is measurable: for fixed the finitely many block-start tuples have fixed weights and atoms continuous in the data ; their law is weakly continuous by bounded continuous tests, hence continuous for . Conditional expectation is the corresponding finite weighted sum, so it commutes with . Therefore is the displayed conditional scalar law and , proving the first conclusion in precisely the sense of [F4].
By [A1] and [F8], the assumed AC supplies Countable Choice and Dependent Choice. Then [F5] gives the Riesz representative, while [F1] and [F6] give separability of and a countable orthonormal basis; use as the basis of . Put and . By the covariance definition in the Statement, , since centering and scaling by multiplies covariance by . The Riesz identity and the same conditional covariance convention as [F9] give . Apply [F7] to , , and : . By [F2] this bound tends to zero in probability. The covariance of is by [F3], proving the variance conclusion, including the zero-variance case.
Depends on
Profile-to-Hilbert bootstrap interface
L2-m-approximable causal Bernoulli shifts
Moving block bootstrap CLT for dependent Hilbert-valued data
Exact conditional covariance of a moving block bootstrap mean
Hilbert-valued CLT for L2-m-approximable Bernoulli shifts
The Axiom of Choice
AC implies DC implies countable choice
Conditional weak convergence in probability
Weak convergence of borel probability measures
Riesz representation for Hilbert spaces
A Hilbert space with a dense sequence has a finite or countable orthonormal basis
Hilbert–Schmidt operator and Hilbert–Schmidt norm
The Hilbert–Schmidt norm is basis independent
Hilbert Schmidt operators form a two sided ideal
Dependency tree · 2 levels
Sources
- D. Pilavakis, E. Paparoditis, and T. Sapatinas, Moving Block and Tapered Block Bootstrap for Functional Time Series with an Application to the K-Sample Mean Problem, Bernoulli 25 (2019), §2.2, Theorem 2.1, and §5
- L. Horváth, P. Kokoszka, and R. Reeder, Estimation of the Mean of Functional Time Series and a Two-Sample Problem, JRSS B 75 (2013), Theorem 1 and Appendix A.1
- A. DasGupta, Asymptotic Theory of Statistics and Probability, Chapter 29 §29.18, pp. 478–480