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Specified-model comparison with calibrated bounds and reported uncertainty scales

Physical scope

General finite calibrated/nuisance model comparison and exact positive-frequency bound propagation, with separate source-reported-estimate/standard-uncertainty score analysis. Instantiates the actual 2014 stored 7Li+ optical-optical double resonance report under explicit atomic, optical, resonance and beam-calibration auxiliaries. Hard-bound declarations are conditional; reported 1-sigma scales imply no guaranteed bounds or coverage. No p-values, confidence levels, raw-data reanalysis or unique validation of SR are asserted. The comparator Gamma=1 is explicitly specified and evaluated at the nominal beta; all source empirical conditions and uncertainties are inherited.

Statement

Adopt Operational model, data, calibration and uncertainty vocabulary of the experiment interface. Comparison labels below range over explicitly specified prediction hypotheses, each with its own apparatus and calibration assumptions. When a label is an operational model of the SR framework, its prediction map must satisfy clause (b), condition (∗), of that vocabulary using the specified SR suppliers. A competing prediction hypothesis need not be an SR operational model and is not represented as satisfying (∗). Reported standard uncertainties are a separate record type, not the vocabulary's declared hard-bound records.

(a) General finite comparison. An apparatus/calibration nuisance parameter means an additional declared model input constrained together with the physical parameter; its domain is part of the admissible set below, and no probability law is implicit. Flatten a finite d-dimensional record with N entries to m=Nd real coordinates. For each label ℓ, let Aℓ be a declared set of admissible tuples a=(θ,η,b), where θ is a physical parameter, η an apparatus or calibration nuisance parameter, and b∈Rm an additive calibration correction. Let Pℓ:Aℓ→Rm be its corrected prediction, Pℓ(a)=Fℓ(θ,η)+b; every correction and admissibility constraint is explicitly stated. For a declared hard-bound record (z,e) put B(z,e)=∏j=1m[zj−ej,zj+ej] and Cℓ={a∈Aℓ:Pℓ(a)∈B(z,e)}. Then Cℓ≠∅ if and only if Pℓ(Aℓ)∩B(z,e)≠∅. If the true calibrated vector satisfies the declared bounds and a candidate with its auxiliaries assigns that vector the value Pℓ(a) for some a∈Aℓ, then a∈Cℓ. Thus Cℓ=∅ excludes that conjunction of candidate, parameter, calibration and hard-bound assumptions, rather than proving another model. If every prediction in Pℓ(Aℓ) has coordinate j in [Lj,Uj] disjoint from [zj−ej,zj+ej], then Cℓ=∅. This criterion is sufficient; overlap of marginal intervals alone does not establish joint feasibility.

(b) Exact finite uncertainty propagation. For positive frequencies νa,νp,ν1,ν2 define Q=νaνp/(ν1ν2)−1. If separately declared hard bounds place these frequencies in positive closed intervals [νa,−,νa,+], [νp,−,νp,+], [ν1,−,ν1,+] and [ν2,−,ν2,+], then

Q∈[νa,−νp,−ν1,+ν2,+−1, νa,+νp,+ν1,−ν2,−−1].

Both endpoints are attained on this rectangular input domain. This is conditional on the hard-bound event; standard-uncertainty entries alone assert neither that event nor probabilistic independence.

(c) Reported-estimate comparison. A reported-estimate record H=(z^,u,α,M) consists of a finite real estimate vector, strictly positive reported scale entries uj, bibliographic and run annotations α, and a source description M of estimation and uncertainty construction. It asserts no hard bound or coverage. Here ∣t∣=t for t≥0 and ∣t∣=−t for t<0; a nonempty finite maximum is obtained by recursively comparing pairs. For a declared multiplier k≥0 define

Dℓ(a)=max⁡1≤j≤m∣z^j−Pℓ,j(a)∣uj,Sℓ(k)={a∈Aℓ:Dℓ(a)≤k}.

Then Sℓ(k)=Pℓ−1(∏j[z^j−kuj,z^j+kuj]). This is a deterministic comparison of estimates and reported scales. No probability, p-value, confidence level or rejection error rate follows without a separately justified sampling and error model.

(d) Primary-report instantiation. Under the qualified conditions of exp-sr-stored-lithium-ion-doppler-time-dilation-2014, additionally stipulate that resonance identifies each laser frequency in the ions' instantaneous rest frame with its stated rest transition frequency, that those transition frequencies are unchanged under active boosts, and that the ideal vacuum phase and frequency law applies in the interaction section after the report's beam, Gouy-phase and line-shape corrections. These atomic, optical and apparatus premises are not derived by Doppler shift and aberration for an ideal plane wave between inertial descriptions. At each selected reception event, additionally represent the ion by an inertial rest observer with velocity cβe1, ∣β∣<1, in a laboratory inertial frame (o;e0,e1,e2,e3). This is a stipulated reception idealization in the interaction section, not an application of the supplier to an accelerating storage-ring worldline. For oppositely propagating laboratory waves, that theorem gives

ν1=γ(1−β)νp,ν2=γ(1+β)νa,γ=(1−β2)−1/2.

Hence QSR=0. To make that interpretation explicit, fix arbitrary positive model transition frequencies ν1,ν2 in hertz. For each β∈(−1,1) take the chart xβ=B(βe1)x, its rest vector nβ=B(−βe1)e0, and laboratory frequencies νp=ν1/[γ(1−β)], νa=ν2/[γ(1+β)]. Take covectors with laboratory components kp=(2πνp/c)(−1,1,0,0) and ka=(2πνa/c)(−1,−1,0,0) and phases p↦kp(p−o), p↦ka(p−o). Let D(β) contain these waves, nβ, reception event o and the declared scalar parameters, with the two frames attached to the readings. Then S=Θ=(−1,1), parameter map id, and prediction F(β)=QSR=0 give an operational model for Q under the stipulated resonance identification. The transition frequencies here are model parameters; this construction does not assert exact knowledge of the report's uncertain frequency values. Define the alternative prediction hypothesis by replacing the common factor γ in those resonance equations by Γ(β)=1, retaining the same directional factors and apparatus assumptions. It predicts Q1(β)=(1−β2)−1/2−1. This deliberately alternative hypothesis is not an SR operational model and makes no claim to satisfy (∗); it is not identified with all classical physics.

For the source-reported dimensionless estimate z^=1.5×10−9 and scale u=2.3×10−9, the declared k=1 criterion gives DSR=15/23<1, with descriptive scale band [−0.8,3.8]×10−9. At the report's nominal β=0.338, one has 0.062<Q1(0.338)<0.063, hence D1>107: that nominal alternative prediction fails this scale criterion. This is not a statistical significance claim. The speed is nominal, no calibrated speed uncertainty is supplied for this evaluation, and no distribution or coverage is inferred. The SR product prediction is independent of β; the alternative prediction depends on its declared value. Agreement of SR with the descriptive scale band tests the physical and apparatus conjunction within the report's uncertainty treatment; it neither proves SR nor uniquely identifies its auxiliary assumptions. All conclusions inherit the primary report's conditions, calibration dependence and statistical and systematic limitations.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: A finite-dimensional hard-bound record (z,e) with nonnegative entries ej, a label ℓ with declared admissible set Aℓ and corrected prediction Pℓ, a reported-estimate record H=(z^,u,α,M) with uj>0, a declared multiplier k≥0, and the reported stored-lithium-ion experiment of Reported stored-lithium-ion Ives-Stilwell Doppler experiment at 0.338c (2014) with its nominal speed, frequencies, corrections and uncertainty budget.

[F1]

The experimental-interface vocabulary: an operational model M=(S,Θ,θ,D,F) has F subject to the declared interpretation (∗); a data record declares that each value lies in its closed box ∏j[zj−εj,zj+εj] in the declared units and contains no probability space, sampling law, independence assumption, likelihood or coverage statement; and clause (f) makes a consistency or comparison claim a separate claim requiring an explicitly declared comparison rule (Operational model, data, calibration and uncertainty vocabulary of the experiment interface).

[F2]

The reported primary experiment: equation (4) reports ϵ=νaνp/(ν1ν2)−1=(1.5±2.3)×10−9 at nominal β=0.338; Table I gives ν1=546455143.0, ν2=546474960.7, νa=384225534.98 and νp=777210326.98 in MHz with source-labelled 1σ scales; the reported scales include fitting, reference, stabilization, background, Gouy-phase, alignment and divergence entries; the raw data, fit weights and covariance are not published; the observable tests the combined Doppler, atomic-transition and apparatus assumptions (Reported stored-lithium-ion Ives-Stilwell Doppler experiment at 0.338c (2014)).

[F3]

Doppler theorem: for inertial charts whose transition is x′=B(β)x+b with ∣β∣<1, the same future null wave covector with frame-x data (ω,s) has frame-x′ data (ω′,s′) with ω′=γ(1−β⋅s)ω, γ=(1−∣β∣2)−1/2, and the rest observers of the two charts read ω=−ck(e0) and ω′=−ck(e0′); in the axis case s=e1 this is the longitudinal factor γ(1−β) (Doppler shift and aberration for an ideal plane wave between inertial descriptions).

[F4]

Frequency conventions: the observer of four-velocity Uo=cn reads ωn=−ck(n)=−k(Uo); a future null wave covector has frame components ka=(−ω/c,(ω/c)s1,(ω/c)s2,(ω/c)s3) with ω>0, ∣s∣=1 (Null wave covectors, frame frequency data and the observer frequency of an ideal plane wave).

[A1]

Adopted ideal plane-wave model: an ideal monochromatic vacuum wave is modeled by a dimensionless affine phase with future null wave covector, and an ideal observer receiving it reads ωn=−ck(n) (Adopted ideal plane-wave and frequency-reading model).

[F6]

The boost and inverse preserve the Lorentz form, orientation and future cone (The passive Lorentz boost with parameter beta, The passive boost is a proper orthochronous Lorentz map with inverse B(-beta)); therefore the inverse-boosted basis gives the inertial chart xβ by Inertial frames and inertial charts of the affine Minkowski model. Covectors with components (−ϖ,ϖs), ϖ>0, ∣s∣=1, are future null by Frame data of a future null wave covector: the unique pair (ϖ,s) with ∣s∣=1 (e), and p↦k(p−o) is their affine phase by Affine phase functions and wave covectors on affine Minkowski space (a).

[F5]

Rational power laws: (ab)r=arbr and ar+s=aras for a,b>0 and rational r,s; for rational r>0 the map a↦ar is strictly increasing on the positive reals; and if c>0 then a<b if and only if ac<bc (Laws of rational exponents, Monotonicity of r↦ar and of a↦ar claim 2, Sign rules for products and monotonicity of multiplication claim 4).

Proof

technique · direct
1.1givenF1

By definition Cℓ={a∈Aℓ:Pℓ(a)∈B(z,e)} is the preimage under Pℓ of the box B(z,e), restricted to Aℓ; hence Cℓ is nonempty exactly when some admissible tuple has corrected prediction inside the box, that is exactly when Pℓ(Aℓ)∩B(z,e)≠∅; and if the declared true calibrated vector lies in B(z,e) and an admissible tuple reproduces it, that tuple lies in Cℓ by the same membership. Thus an empty Cℓ rules out the conjunction of the candidate, its parameter and calibration auxiliaries and the declared bounds, and says nothing about which conjunct failed, so it does not by itself establish a competing hypothesis; the box B(z,e) is well defined and nonempty because ej≥0, and it is a singleton exactly when e=0.

1.2F5algebra

On the positive rectangle the function νaνp/(ν1ν2) is increasing in νa,νp and decreasing in ν1,ν2, because multiplying an inequality by a positive number and dividing it by a positive number preserve it by [F5]; the numerator product is positive and the denominator product is positive, so the quotient is positive, and the strictly increasing positive square root u↦u1/2 of [F5] preserves the two resulting inequalities, which are exactly the displayed lower and upper bounds; the corner (νa,−,νp,−,ν1,+,ν2,+) lies in the rectangle by the interval hypotheses and attains the lower endpoint, and the opposite corner attains the upper endpoint.

1.3givenF1F5

The scale score is a finite maximum over the coordinates, so Dℓ(a)≤k holds exactly when ∣z^j−Pℓ,j(a)∣≤kuj for every j; because every uj is strictly positive, this is exactly z^j−kuj≤Pℓ,j(a)≤z^j+kuj for every j by the order rules of [F5], which is exactly the statement that Pℓ(a) lies in the product of the closed intervals. Taking preimages gives Sℓ(k)=Pℓ−1(∏j[z^j−kuj,z^j+kuj]), an identity of sets of admissible tuples; at k=0 it reduces to the preimage of the point z^, and no random variable, measure or probability model is involved.

1.4A1F1F2F3F4F5F6

For each admissible ion velocity cβe1 with ∣β∣<1 the two laser frequencies are read in the moving ion's instantaneous rest frame; the parallel and antiparallel waves propagate along ±e1, so the Doppler factor of [F3] is γ(1−β) and γ(1+β) respectively, and assigning the rest-frame readings the rest transition frequencies as stipulated gives ν1=γ(1−β)νp and ν2=γ(1+β)νa with γ=(1−β2)−1/2; multiplying, νaνp/(ν1ν2)=1/[γ2(1−β)(1+β)]=1/[γ2(1−β2)]=1, because (1−β)(1+β)=1−β2 and γ2(1−β2)=1 by the definition of γ, so QSR=0. For the operational model displayed in (d), [F6] makes the inverse-boosted basis an inertial frame and nβ future unit timelike. The laboratory frequencies are positive since νi>0, γ>0 and 1±β>0; [F6] makes both covectors future null with the displayed affine phases. At event o the two readings assigned by [F3] and [A1] equal ν1 and ν2 by construction. The sets S=Θ=(−1,1) are nonempty and the identity parameter map is surjective; D(β) is a run description of [F1], and its computed product gives F(β)=0, proving (∗). The alternative hypothesis that keeps the same directional factors and replaces γ by one gives ν1=(1−β)νp, ν2=(1+β)νa and hence Q1(β)=(1−β2)−1/2−1.

2.1F1step 1.1

If for some coordinate j every value of Pℓ lies in an interval [Lj,Uj] disjoint from [zj−ej,zj+ej], then no admissible tuple has prediction in B(z,e), so Cℓ=∅ by step 1.1; this disjointness criterion is sufficient and not necessary, since for instance the two-point prediction set {(0,1),(1,0)} has both coordinate projections meeting [0,0]×[0,0] at 0 while no point of it lies in that box, so overlap of the marginal projections alone does not establish the joint feasibility that Cℓ requires, and nuisance and calibration constraints inside Aℓ cannot be replaced by their coordinatewise projections.

2.2F2F5step 1.3step 1.4algebra

For the reported dimensionless estimate and scale, z^=15/1010 and u=23/1010 in the units of the report's record; the SR prediction QSR=0 has score DSR=(15/1010)/(23/1010)=15/23<1 by step 1.3, so zero lies inside the descriptive scale band [z^−u,z^+u]=[−8/1010,38/1010]. For the nominal β=169/500 we compute 1−β2=221439/250000 and the two exact positive comparisons (531/500)2⋅(221439/250000)<1<(1063/1000)2⋅(221439/250000); taking positive square roots and reciprocals by [F5] gives 531/500<1/1−β2<1063/1000, that is 31/500<Q1(169/500)<63/1000, so the alternative prediction exceeds the estimate and its score is D1≥(31/500−15/1010)/(23/1010)=(619999985/1010)⋅(1010/23)>107, again by step 1.3 and the order rules of [F5]. Hence at the nominal speed the SR prediction meets the declared k=1 scale criterion while the explicitly specified alternative prediction fails it by a wide margin.

3.1F1F2step 1.1step 1.2step 1.3step 1.4step 2.1step 2.2∎

Collecting the steps: (a) is steps 1.1 and 2.1, (b) is step 1.2, (c) is step 1.3 and the identity Sℓ(k)=Pℓ−1(∏j[z^j−kuj,z^j+kuj]), and (d) is steps 1.4 and 2.2 with the auxiliaries and qualifications displayed in the Statement. The comparison rules are exact conditional statements about declared hard bounds, declared admissible tuples and declared reported scales; they are not instantiated as hard bounds by the experiment's 1σ entries, they establish no p-value, confidence level or rejection error rate, and they establish neither the truth of SR nor the uniqueness of its auxiliary assumptions; all conclusions inherit the experiment's apparatus, calibration, finite-sampling, correction, borrowed-rest-frequency and unpublished-covariance qualifications, and the speed used in the numerical evaluation is the report's nominal value without a calibrated speed uncertainty.

Depends on

Dependency tree · 2 levels

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