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The one-sample Hotelling F test has exact size alpha
Statement
Assume AC, , and the one-sample multivariate-normal model with covariance . For a specified and , reject when where is the statistic in The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law. Against , this test has size exactly over all null covariances .
Facts & Assumptions
Given: AC, , the iid multivariate-normal experiment, fixed , and .
AC is part of the Gaussian model and the exact Hotelling theorem. The Axiom of Choice The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law
The scaled Hotelling statistic has the common law under every null covariance . The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law
A randomized test is a measurable test function into , and the size is the supremum of its rejection probability over the null parameter set. Randomized tests Test size and power
A probability kernel assigns a probability measure to each observation and has measurable event-probability functions; this includes deterministic kernels supported on a measurable action. Randomized procedures as probability kernels Measure kernel and probability kernel A measurable function between measurable spaces
The CDF for positive degrees of freedom is continuous on and strictly increasing on ; each probability level in has a unique support quantile. Student t and Fisher F CDFs are continuous and strictly increasing on their supports
For real symmetric matrices, positive definiteness is equivalent to positivity of all leading principal minors. Sylvester's criterion: a real symmetric matrix with is positive definite if and only if all leading principal minors are positive
Continuous Euclidean functions are Borel measurable. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable
The model parameter set consists of every and every . The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions
Proof
The statistic is Borel measurable: the sample maps and are continuous by the model definition [F7]; by [F5], the event is the finite intersection of strict polynomial inequalities on its leading principal minors. On this open set, has entries equal to cofactors divided by , so the quadratic-form formula for is continuous by [F6]. Extending that function by zero on the Borel complement remains Borel. Let be the indicator that the scaled statistic exceeds the stated threshold and define a kernel on actions by if and otherwise. For each this is a probability measure, and is measurable because is measurable. Thus [F3] makes this a randomized procedure and [F2] its test function.
Since , is nonempty; hence the stated null and alternative parameter sets are nonempty and disjoint. Under AC [A1], [F4] gives a unique satisfying . For each null covariance, [F1] gives rejection probability , with no boundary atom because its CDF is continuous.
Taking the supremum of the same value over the nonempty null set leaves it equal to . By [F2] this supremum is the test's size, proving exact size. The argument includes every positive-definite null covariance and uses the exact finite-sample F law; no asymptotic calibration is used.
Depends on
- The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law
- The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions
- The Axiom of Choice
- Randomized tests
- Randomized procedures as probability kernels
- Measure kernel and probability kernel
- A measurable function between measurable spaces
- Test size and power
- Student t and Fisher F laws
- Student t and Fisher F CDFs are continuous and strictly increasing on their supports
- Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable
- Sylvester's criterion: a real symmetric $n\times n$ matrix with $n\geq1$ is positive definite if and only if all leading principal minors are positive
Used by
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Sources
- Arak Mathai, Serge Provost, and Hans J. Haubold, Multivariate Statistical Analysis in the Real and Complex Domains, Chapter 6 §§6.3–6.4, PDF pp. 20–42 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Soumendu Mukherjee, Multivariate Analysis 2021, Lecture 3, PDF pp. 1–5 (standard reference, not scraped)
- Peter D. Hoff, Multivariate Statistical Analysis, Duke STA 832 lecture notes, relevant sections in Chapters 4 and 7 (standard reference, not scraped)