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The one-sample Hotelling F test has exact size alpha

Statement

Assume AC, n>p≥1, and the one-sample multivariate-normal model with covariance Σ≻0. For a specified μ0∈Rp and 0<α<1, reject H0:μ=μ0 when n−pp(n−1)T2>Fp,n−p−1(1−α), where T2 is the statistic in The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law. Against H1:μ≠μ0, this test has size exactly α over all null covariances Σ≻0.

Facts & Assumptions

Given: AC, n>p≥1, the iid multivariate-normal experiment, fixed μ0, and 0<α<1.

[A1]

AC is part of the Gaussian model and the exact Hotelling theorem. The Axiom of Choice The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law

[F1]

The scaled Hotelling statistic has the common law Fp,n−p under every null covariance Σ≻0. The one-sample Hotelling statistic has an exact F law

[F2]

A randomized test is a measurable test function into [0,1], and the size is the supremum of its rejection probability over the null parameter set. Randomized tests Test size and power

[F3]

A probability kernel assigns a probability measure to each observation and has measurable event-probability functions; this includes deterministic kernels supported on a measurable action. Randomized procedures as probability kernels Measure kernel and probability kernel A measurable function between measurable spaces

[F4]

The Fr,s CDF for positive degrees of freedom is continuous on R and strictly increasing on (0,∞); each probability level in (0,1) has a unique support quantile. Student t and Fisher F CDFs are continuous and strictly increasing on their supports

[F5]

For real symmetric matrices, positive definiteness is equivalent to positivity of all leading principal minors. Sylvester's criterion: a real symmetric n×n matrix with n≥1 is positive definite if and only if all leading principal minors are positive

[F6]

Continuous Euclidean functions are Borel measurable. Continuous functions on Euclidean spaces are Borel measurable

[F7]

The model parameter set consists of every μ∈Rp and every Σ≻0. The iid multivariate-normal sample and covariance conventions

Proof

1.1F2F3F5F6F7

The statistic is Borel measurable: the sample maps Xˉ and S are continuous by the model definition [F7]; by [F5], the event S≻0 is the finite intersection of strict polynomial inequalities on its leading principal minors. On this open set, S−1 has entries equal to cofactors divided by det⁡S>0, so the quadratic-form formula for T2 is continuous by [F6]. Extending that function by zero on the Borel complement remains Borel. Let D(x) be the indicator that the scaled statistic exceeds the stated threshold and define a kernel on actions {0,1} by K(x,A)=1 if D(x)∈A and 0 otherwise. For each x this is a probability measure, and x↦K(x,A) is measurable because D is measurable. Thus [F3] makes this a randomized procedure and [F2] its test function.

1.2A1F1F4F7given

Since p≥1, Rp∖{μ0} is nonempty; hence the stated null and alternative parameter sets are nonempty and disjoint. Under AC [A1], [F4] gives a unique q=Fp,n−p−1(1−α)>0 satisfying P(Fp,n−p≤q)=1−α. For each null covariance, [F1] gives rejection probability P(Fp,n−p>q)=α, with no boundary atom because its CDF is continuous.

2.1F2step 1.2algebra∎

Taking the supremum of the same value α over the nonempty null set leaves it equal to α. By [F2] this supremum is the test's size, proving exact size. The argument includes every positive-definite null covariance and uses the exact finite-sample F law; no asymptotic calibration is used.

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